NHL 2013/14 Projected Scoring Leaders (top 500)

Here is my annual list of predicted NHL scoring for the 2013/14 season. My predictions for the top 500 scorers is determined with a basic regression formula, then modified on an individual basis using a simple formula of standard deviation depending on a player's situation. This determines a projected points per game, which is then multiplied by my estimate of Games Played based on each player's injury situation. These guesses are not perfect, but they were updated as of Sept 27 and are as good of a guess as you'll find in time for your fantasy draft.

Name	Team	GP	PTS
Sidney Crosby	PIT	72	112
Steven Stamkos	TAM	82	95
Patrick Kane	CHI	82	89
Taylor Hall	EDM	82	89
Evgeni Malkin	PIT	78	88
Alex Ovechkin	WAS	82	88
Eric Staal	CAR	82	86
Phil Kessel	TOR	82	85
John Tavares	NYI	82	83
Ryan Getzlaf	ANA	80	81
Martin St. Louis	TAM	75	80
Pavel Datsyuk	DET	76	79
Alexander Semin	CAR	80	78
Jonathan Toews	CHI	82	78
Anze Kopitar	LOS	82	78
Max Pacioretty	MON	80	77
Henrik Zetterberg	DET	80	77
Jordan Eberle	EDM	82	77
Kris Letang	PIT	75	77
Nicklas Backstrom	WAS	76	75
Jamie Benn	DAL	78	75
P.K. Subban	MON	82	74
Thomas Vanek	BUF	76	74
Andrew Ladd	WPG	82	74
James Neal	PIT	76	74
Jason Spezza	OTT	70	74
Henrik Sedin	VAN	82	74
Matt Moulson	NYI	81	74
Logan Couture	SAN	82	73
Matt Duchene	COL	82	73
Nazem Kadri	TOR	82	72
Blake Wheeler	WPG	82	72
Chris Kunitz	PIT	82	72
Claude Giroux	PHI	75	72
Jakub Voracek	PHI	78	72
Rick Nash	NYR	77	71
P.A. Parenteau	COL	82	71
Corey Perry	ANA	80	71
Derek Stepan	NYR	82	69
Joffrey Lupul	TOR	65	69
Joe Thornton	SAN	79	69
Zach Parise	MIN	82	66
Mike Ribeiro	PHO	80	66
Erik Karlsson	OTT	74	64
Brad Marchand	BOS	80	64
Mikko Koivu	MIN	82	64
Daniel Sedin	VAN	78	63
Ryan Kesler	VAN	75	63
Evander Kane	WPG	82	63
Tyler Seguin	DAL	82	63
Ryan O'Reilly	COL	76	62
Cody Hodgson	BUF	82	62
Teddy Purcell	TAM	82	60
Ray Whitney	DAL	72	60
Marian Gaborik	COB	76	60
Jason Pominville	MIN	80	59
James van Riemsdyk	TOR	82	59
Brandon Dubinsky	COB	77	58
Jeff Carter	LOS	82	58
Vincent Lecavalier	PHI	71	58
Patrik Elias	NJD	77	58
Jiri Tlusty	CAR	82	58
Wayne Simmonds	PHI	82	58
Joe Pavelski	SAN	82	58
Radim Vrbata	PHO	73	58
Alex Chiasson	DAL	75	58
Jarome Iginla	BOS	74	56
Michael Ryder	NJD	78	56
Bobby Ryan	OTT	82	56
Jordan Staal	CAR	82	56
Colin Wilson	NAS	73	56
Patrick Sharp	CHI	74	55
Loui Eriksson	BOS	82	55
Pascal Dupuis	PIT	82	55
Nail Yakupov	EDM	82	55
Jonathan Huberdeau	FLA	82	55
Chris Stewart	STL	82	54
Tyler Ennis	BUF	82	54
Dustin Byfuglien	WPG	76	54
Bryan Little	WPG	82	54
Patrick Marleau	SAN	79	54
Tomas Plekanec	MON	80	54
Marcus Johansson	WAS	73	54
Brendan Gallagher	MON	82	54
Brad Richards	NYR	76	53
David Krejci	BOS	82	53
Brent Burns	SAN	73	53
Tomas Fleischmann	FLA	75	53
Johan Franzen	DET	67	53
David Backes	STL	82	53
Justin Williams	LOS	81	53
Patrice Bergeron	BOS	74	52
Marcus Foligno	BUF	82	52
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	EDM	70	52
Jaromir Jagr	NJD	73	51
Mike Green	WAS	70	51
Cory Conacher	OTT	82	51
Shea Weber	NAS	82	50
Keith Yandle	PHO	82	50
Derick Brassard	NYR	82	50
Kyle Turris	OTT	82	50
Lee Stempniak	CGY	81	50
Brayden Schenn	PHI	82	50
Brandon Saad	CHI	82	49
Gabriel Landeskog	COL	76	49
Derek Roy	STL	72	49
David Perron	EDM	77	49
T.J. Oshie	STL	75	49
Sam Gagner	EDM	65	49
Mike Richards	LOS	80	49
Devin Setoguchi	WPG	82	49
Alexander Steen	STL	74	48
Marian Hossa	CHI	72	48
Frans Nielsen	NYI	82	48
Tyler Bozak	TOR	80	48
Sven Baertschi	CGY	75	48
Jeff Skinner	CAR	76	48
Dustin Brown	LOS	78	48
Vladimir Tarasenko	STL	75	47
Scott Hartnell	PHI	74	47
David Desharnais	MON	82	47
Ryan Suter	MIN	82	47
Milan Lucic	BOS	80	47
Martin Erat	WAS	75	47
Justin Schultz	EDM	82	47
Dion Phaneuf	TOR	82	47
Troy Brouwer	WAS	82	46
Jannik Hansen	VAN	82	46
Niklas Kronwall	DET	81	46
Michael Cammalleri	CGY	74	46
Mark Streit	PHI	77	45
Jussi Jokinen	PIT	74	45
Paul Stastny	COL	76	44
Drew Doughty	LOS	82	44
Alex Galchenyuk	MON	82	44
Brad Boyes	NYI	82	44
Kyle Okposo	NYI	82	44
Danny Briere	MON	76	44
Alex Pietrangelo	STL	82	44
Alex Tanguay	COL	75	44
Tobias Enstrom	WPG	73	44
Curtis Glencross	CGY	75	44
Tomas Kopecky	FLA	80	43
Alexander Edler	VAN	80	43
Martin Hanzal	PHO	74	43
Dany Heatley	MIN	72	43
Jakob Silfverberg	ANA	82	43
Ryan Callahan	NYR	72	43
Jiri Hudler	CGY	73	43
Mason Raymond	TOR	81	43
Patrik Berglund	STL	82	43
Milan Michalek	OTT	72	42
Mark Letestu	COB	81	42
Benoit Pouliot	NYR	73	42
Matt Read	PHI	75	42
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	PHO	82	42
Sergei Gonchar	DAL	72	42
Beau Bennett	PIT	76	42
David Legwand	NAS	80	42
Andrei Markov	MON	78	41
Brian Campbell	FLA	79	41
Kimmo Timonen	PHI	70	41
Alexandre Burrows	VAN	79	41
Mikkel Boedker	PHO	82	41
Kyle Palmieri	ANA	79	41
Lars Eller	MON	76	41
Mika Zibanejad	OTT	81	40
Adam Henrique	NJD	79	40
Kevin Shattenkirk	STL	82	39
Daniel Alfredsson	DET	71	39
Slava Voynov	LOS	82	39
Pierre-Marc Bouchard	NYI	75	39
Alex Goligoski	DAL	82	39
Joel Ward	WAS	75	39
Damien Brunner	NJD	78	39
Mikhail Grabovski	WAS	82	39
Mike Fisher	NAS	70	39
Cody Eakin	DAL	82	39
Patric Hornqvist	NAS	67	39
Valtteri Filppula	TAM	75	39
Shane Doan	PHO	76	38
Dan Hamhuis	VAN	80	38
Nikolai Kulemin	TOR	82	38
Dennis Wideman	CGY	79	38
Jamie McGinn	COL	82	38
Matt Cullen	NAS	71	38
John Carlson	WAS	82	38
Michael Del Zotto	NYR	82	38
Jeremy Morin	CHI	68	38
Artem Anisimov	COB	74	38
Duncan Keith	CHI	81	38
Brenden Morrow	STL	72	38
Olli Jokinen	WPG	75	38
Jimmy Hayes	CHI	67	38
David Clarkson	TOR	72	37
Antoine Vermette	PHO	82	37
Ville Leino	BUF	66	37
Michael Grabner	NYI	81	37
Tyler Toffoli	LOS	72	37
Nick Foligno	COB	81	37
Saku Koivu	ANA	73	37
Drew Stafford	BUF	81	37
Matt Frattin	LOS	77	37
Cam Atkinson	COB	71	37
Steve Ott	BUF	78	37
Josh Bailey	NYI	73	37
Ryan Johansen	COB	77	37
Paul Martin	PIT	76	37
Antoine Roussel	DAL	76	37
Brooks Laich	WAS	73	36
Andrew Shaw	CHI	82	36
Jay Bouwmeester	STL	82	36
Clarke MacArthur	OTT	75	36
Cody Franson	TOR	65	36
Taylor Beck	NAS	74	36
Marc Staal	NYR	70	36
Patrick Wiercioch	OTT	79	36
Ryane Clowe	NJD	73	36
Matt Carle	TAM	82	36
Teemu Selanne	ANA	75	36
Steve Downie	COL	65	36
Shawn Matthias	FLA	82	36
Alex Killorn	TAM	71	36
Ales Hemsky	EDM	71	36
Victor Hedman	TAM	77	36
Andrew Cogliano	ANA	82	35
Zach Bogosian	WPG	75	35
Tuomo Ruutu	CAR	70	35
Stephen Weiss	DET	78	35
Christian Ehrhoff	BUF	80	35
Jaden Schwartz	STL	82	35
Mikael Backlund	CGY	74	35
Dustin Penner	ANA	73	35
Jake Gardiner	TOR	74	34
Mats Zuccarello	NYR	76	34
Andrei Loktionov	NJD	70	34
Jack Johnson	COB	79	34
Dave Bolland	TOR	74	33
Ryan McDonagh	NYR	82	33
Travis Zajac	NJD	82	33
Dougie Hamilton	BOS	81	33
Brandon Sutter	PIT	82	33
Mikael Samuelsson	DET	63	32
Colin Greening	OTT	82	32
Justin Faulk	CAR	78	32
Craig Smith	NAS	81	32
James Wisniewski	COB	67	32
Vladimir Sobotka	STL	82	32
Bryan Bickell	CHI	82	32
Matt Stajan	CGY	74	32
Nick Leddy	CHI	82	32
Rich Peverley	DAL	73	32
Jonas Brodin	MIN	82	32
Eric Fehr	WAS	72	32
Fedor Tyutin	COB	82	32
Roman Josi	NAS	82	31
Magnus Paajarvi	STL	79	31
Nick Bonino	ANA	65	31
Zdeno Chara	BOS	78	31
Mathieu Perreault	WAS	72	31
Carl Soderberg	BOS	65	31
Gabriel Bourque	NAS	65	31
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	OTT	67	31
Marcel Goc	FLA	72	31
Carl Hagelin	NYR	71	31
Francois Beauchemin	ANA	73	31
Mikael Granlund	MIN	71	31
Raphael Diaz	MON	70	31
Dan Boyle	SAN	73	30
Brian Flynn	BUF	72	30
John Mitchell	COL	82	30
Marek Zidlicky	NJD	77	30
Tomas Tatar	DET	63	30
Marcus Kruger	CHI	82	30
Matt Calvert	COB	78	30
Charlie Coyle	MIN	75	30
Emerson Etem	ANA	74	29
Bobby Butler	FLA	74	29
Jared Spurgeon	MIN	75	29
Rob Klinkhammer	PHO	59	29
Brian Gionta	MON	76	29
Dmitry Kulikov	FLA	75	29
Brent Seabrook	CHI	82	28
Tom Pyatt	TAM	78	28
R.J. Umberger	COB	82	28
Todd Bertuzzi	DET	63	28
Michal Rozsival	CHI	71	28
Sean Couturier	PHI	82	28
Daniel Paille	BOS	80	28
Daniel Winnik	ANA	82	28
Filip Forsberg	NAS	72	28
Roman Horak	CGY	65	28
Gustav Nyquist	DET	70	28
Jack Hillen	WAS	72	27
Shawn Horcoff	DAL	65	27
Joe Corvo	OTT	73	27
Viktor Stalberg	NAS	68	27
Jay McClement	TOR	82	27
Nate Thompson	TAM	78	27
Grant Clitsome	WPG	77	27
Chris Higgins	VAN	70	27
Jesse Joensuu	EDM	67	27
Cam Fowler	ANA	76	27
Rene Bourque	MON	72	26
Jason Garrison	VAN	82	26
Sergei Kostitsyn	NAS	82	26
Derek Dorsett	NYR	72	26
Carl Gunnarsson	TOR	66	26
Lauri Korpikoski	PHO	73	26
Matt Irwin	SAN	73	26
Dennis Seidenberg	BOS	77	26
Casey Cizikas	NYI	75	26
Jason Chimera	WAS	77	26
Scott Gomez	FLA	67	26
Drew Shore	FLA	81	25
Zack Smith	OTT	82	25
Jake Muzzin	LOS	71	25
Matt Cooke	MIN	78	25
David Booth	VAN	65	25
Kris Versteeg	FLA	65	25
Vernon Fiddler	DAL	76	25
Mark Scheifele	WPG	74	25
David Moss	PHO	75	25
Andy Greene	NJD	82	25
Mikhail Grigorenko	BUF	72	25
Kyle Clifford	LOS	82	25
Steve Bernier	NJD	82	25
Zack Kassian	VAN	74	25
Brandon Prust	MON	71	25
Matt Niskanen	PIT	72	24
Kevin Bieksa	VAN	71	24
Nathan Horton	COB	64	24
Aaron Palushaj	CAR	66	24
Ryan Carter	NJD	76	24
Richard Panik	TAM	64	24
Matt Beleskey	ANA	77	24
Tommy Wingels	SAN	77	24
Jared Cowen	OTT	75	24
Jakub Kindl	DET	76	24
Ryan Ellis	NAS	73	23
Raffi Torres	SAN	60	23
Martin Havlat	SAN	55	23
Matt Halischuk	WPG	66	23
Kyle Brodziak	MIN	82	23
Kevin Klein	NAS	82	23
Dainius Zubrus	NJD	63	23
T.J. Galiardi	CGY	74	23
Dan Girardi	NYR	80	23
Ryan Malone	TAM	67	23
Nick Spaling	NAS	82	23
Nikita Nikitin	COB	73	22
Jarret Stoll	LOS	75	22
Tyler Johnson	TAM	51	22
Chris Kreider	NYR	73	22
Erik Gudbranson	FLA	73	22
Tyler Myers	BUF	75	22
Andrej Sekera	CAR	70	22
Boyd Gordon	EDM	82	22
Stephen Gionta	NJD	82	22
T.J. Brodie	CGY	82	22
Colin McDonald	NYI	78	22
Brendan Smith	DET	78	22
Justin Abdelkader	DET	82	22
Michal Handzus	CHI	69	22
Tyson Barrie	COL	72	21
David Jones	CGY	72	21
Alexei Emelin	MON	68	21
Sami Salo	TAM	68	21
Daniel Cleary	DET	78	21
Blake Comeau	COB	75	21
Mark Giordano	CGY	81	21
Patrick Dwyer	CAR	79	20
Cal Clutterbuck	NYI	69	20
Mike Weaver	FLA	71	20
Radko Gudas	TAM	73	20
Jarred Tinordi	MON	75	20
Jeff Petry	EDM	82	20
Jack Skille	COB	68	20
Nathan Gerbe	CAR	63	20
Erik Condra	OTT	82	20
Dan Carcillo	LOS	71	19
Trevor Daley	DAL	72	19
Jason Zucker	MIN	73	19
Trevor Lewis	LOS	82	19
Luke Schenn	PHI	82	19
Max Talbot	PHI	73	19
Brett Connolly	TAM	65	19
T.J. Brennan	TOR	55	19
Brad Richardson	VAN	69	19
Ron Hainsey	CAR	79	19
Matt Martin	NYI	82	19
Chris Phillips	OTT	78	19
Cody McLeod	COL	82	19
Eric Brewer	TAM	79	19
Tyler Kennedy	SAN	82	19
John Moore	NYR	77	19
Lubomir Visnovsky	NYI	54	18
Andrew MacDonald	NYI	77	18
Andre Benoit	COL	65	18
Tomas Kundratek	WAS	65	18
Andrew Ference	EDM	80	18
Michael Frolik	WPG	82	18
Ben Lovejoy	ANA	68	18
Scottie Upshall	FLA	70	18
Jordan Caron	BOS	68	18
Joakim Andersson	DET	71	18
Marc Methot	OTT	82	18
Erik Johnson	COL	72	18
Jordan Schroeder	VAN	60	18
Travis Hamonic	NYI	82	18
Dwight King	LOS	82	18
Kevin Porter	BUF	63	18
Zac Rinaldo	PHI	72	18
Barret Jackman	STL	77	17
Jamie McBain	BUF	73	17
Michael Stone	PHO	75	17
Erik Cole	DAL	76	17
Johnny Oduya	CHI	81	17
Niklas Hjalmarsson	CHI	82	17
Ryan Wilson	COL	71	17
Jonathan Ericsson	DET	78	17
Gregory Campbell	BOS	70	17
Paul Postma	WPG	64	17
Zach Redmond	WPG	45	17
Stephane Robidas	DAL	77	17
Eric Nystrom	NAS	82	17
Derek Morris	PHO	71	17
Braydon Coburn	PHI	77	17
Yannick Weber	VAN	57	17
Nick Bjugstad	FLA	73	17
Tim Erixon	COB	69	16
Ryan Smyth	EDM	74	16
Chris Neil	OTT	79	16
Mattias Tedenby	NJD	63	16
Alec Martinez	LOS	74	16
Rob Scuderi	PIT	80	16
Keith Aucoin	STL	66	16
Simon Despres	PIT	72	16
Chris Kelly	BOS	71	16
Marc-Edouard Vlasic	SAN	82	16
John-Michael Liles	TOR	52	16
Riley Nash	CAR	56	16
Brad Stuart	SAN	79	16
Maxim Lapierre	STL	82	16
Clayton Stoner	MIN	82	16
Jacob Josefson	NJD	69	16
Taylor Pyatt	NYR	81	16
Luca Sbisa	ANA	77	16
Steve Oleksy	WAS	50	16
Drayson Bowman	CAR	71	15
Richard Clune	NAS	82	15
Erik Gustafsson	PHI	51	15
Alexander Sulzer	BUF	69	15
Jay Harrison	CAR	80	15
Chris Mueller	DAL	54	14
Tomas Vincour	COL	58	14
Dalton Prout	COB	55	14
Tim Gleason	CAR	74	14
Jordan Leopold	STL	64	14
Henrik Tallinder	BUF	71	14
Keith Ballard	MIN	75	14
Matt Hendricks	NAS	81	14
Ryan Jones	EDM	58	14
Josh Gorges	MON	82	14
Kyle Quincey	DET	73	14
Chris Tanev	VAN	73	14
Danny DeKeyser	DET	76	14
Peter Regin	NYI	61	13
Sami Vatanen	ANA	51	13
Mark Fraser	TOR	80	13
Victor Bartley	NAS	46	13
Jonathon Blum	MIN	66	13
Mark Fistric	ANA	58	13
Mike Kostka	CHI	62	13
Mark Fayne	NJD	70	13
Chris Porter	STL	51	13
Keith Aulie	TAM	82	13
Sheldon Souray	ANA	52	13
David Schlemko	PHO	67	13
Nick Schultz	EDM	82	13
Jan Hejda	COL	76	13
Mark Pysyk	BUF	46	13
B.J. Crombeen	TAM	77	13
Adam Larsson	NJD	72	13
Torrey Mitchell	MIN	79	13
Patrick Eaves	DET	59	13
Colin Fraser	LOS	67	13
Lane MacDermid	DAL	56	13
Jay Beagle	WAS	82	12
Justin Braun	SAN	74	12
Mike Weber	BUF	76	12
Drew Miller	DET	75	12
Jeremy Welsh	CAR	61	12
Dana Tyrell	TAM	62	12
Rostislav Klesla	PHO	66	12
Kris Russell	CGY	72	12
Brenden Dillon	DAL	82	12
Jim O'Brien	OTT	55	12
John Erskine	WAS	72	12
Dustin Jeffrey	PIT	46	11