One of my annual New Year’s eve traditions is to post my top Tweets of the year, which acts both as a “year in review” and a time capsule. There are a little over 60 Tweets with a minimum of 2 likes. The pandemic loosened its grip over the sports world and our lives, and hopefully all those draconian restrictions are in the rear-view mirror. Here’s to hoping everyone has a fruitful 2023! To view my top Tweets from 2021, click here.
These are listed in chronological order, not best to least best.
Did the San Jose Sharks hire a private investigator to follow Evander Kane everywhere trying to catch him doing something that would allow the team to terminate his contract? That's what I would have done if I were GM of the Sharks...🤔 #SJSharks
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) January 9, 2022
Nazem Kadri scored at a pace of 47 PTS per 82 GP last season, and now as a pending free agent has ballooned up to 131. That 84-point increase is by far the biggest FA bump in the salary cap era (minimum 30 GP). Next is William Karlsson, who jumped by 53 PTS first year in Vegas.
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) January 13, 2022
If Yahoo #FantasyHockey is going to have a month-long week 16 with a bunch of rescheduled games, it might be smart in week 15 to start stocking up with players from teams with the most postponed games, like the Islanders, Senators, and other Canadian teams.
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) January 15, 2022
Heading into tonight the Dallas Stars were 14-4 at home and the Montreal Canadiens 2-19 on the road. Habs win 5-3. Dallas should've been a safe bet to win but sometimes hockey is unpredictable. Betting Habs to lose has been very profitable. May the tank continue... 🙏 #NHLBetting
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) January 19, 2022
What is the Arizona Coyotes "debt clock" at these days? It was $300M in 2019, losing $50M per year. The pandemic surely increased their losses. Are they at $500M in debt yet? Gotta be getting close. Not sure a 5,000 seat arena is going to right the ship. #Yotes #HockeyTwitter
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) January 28, 2022
With no NHL games on the schedule, I'm taking the opportunity to explore some over/under modelling. I'll be switching to an average goals per game per team system instead of % of last 10 games over or under the betting total. Much better results so far. #NHLBetting
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) February 4, 2022
It's becoming increasingly clear that the Seattle Kraken front office did a bad job with the expansion draft. Failed to select a good team and failed to add quality draft capital. They got too cute. Take all the best players available and sell the excess parts. #SeaKraken
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) February 9, 2022
NHL teams playing the 2nd of back-to-back games against a rested opponent won 46.6% in 2019/20. From Jan 2021 to Jan 2022, the win % dropped below 40%. You have to wonder if 2 years of a respiratory virus pandemic has something to do with that. 🤔 #NHLBetting
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) February 12, 2022
Would Russia have invaded Ukraine if NATO had sent thousands of troops to the Ukraine-Russia border instead of just talking tough about sanctions? I assume Putin has the support of China and I wouldn't be surprised if China invaded Taiwan in the coming weeks/months.
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) February 24, 2022
"I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones"
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) February 24, 2022
-Albert Einstein
I would prefer if Vancouver and Winnipeg did not sell at the trade deadline because that last wildcard slot is wide-open and I'd like another Canadian team in the playoffs...even if they get destroyed by Colorado in the first round... 🇨🇦 #NHLTradeDeadline
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) March 18, 2022
Good job by the Seattle Kraken selling off spare parts for draft picks leading up to the #NHLTradeDeadline. Imagine how many picks they'd have if last summer they took all the best assets available in the expansion draft and sold off everything they could to the highest bidder?
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) March 26, 2022
While I'm cheering for Vegas to miss the playoffs for salary cap shenanigans, it would also be cool if Dadonov caught fire and personally carried them into the post-season... 🤨 #VegasBorn
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) March 27, 2022
The Florida Panthers were +1200 on the live betting to beat New Jersey, down by 3 goals with 15 minutes left in the 3rd period. I thought to myself, well that lead isn't THAT safe. Sure enough, Panthers tied the game and won in overtime, but I did not make the bet. 🤦♂️ #NHLBetting
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) April 2, 2022
The Buffalo Sabres have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games while the Carolina Hurricanes are 4-6. The Sabres beat the Canes 4-2 on Tuesday. So why was Carolina a -400 favorite (with some books) to beat Buffalo tonight? That implies an 80% probability of victory. 🤨 #NHLBetting
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) April 7, 2022
If you bet $100 on both the moneyline and puckline against every NHL team who played the day before and is facing a rested opponent, you are up $4,302 in the 2021/22 season. However, you have lost -$2,397 since March 23rd. 🤨 #NHLBetting #BettingTips pic.twitter.com/snSOgdJ665
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) April 11, 2022
I'm a big fan of @spittinchiclets and love when @mattmurley19 is on the podcast. But I'm curious to know how the #BarstoolSportsbook feels about Murls giving out all these bets that are "crushing" their bottom line. How is this economically viable? Is the EBR crew raping Portnoy? https://t.co/3pVn3M7DZR
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) April 12, 2022
Robert Thomas has been on my #FantasyHockey team for 6 games and has scored 14 PTS. 🔥🔥🔥
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) April 15, 2022
At the rate Mike Bossy scored goals, it would have only taken him him 1315 games to reach 1000. Whereas "The Great One" scored 894 goals in 1487 games. That's how great Mike Bossy was at scoring. #RIPMikeBossy
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) April 15, 2022
It bothers me when someone in the #FantasyHockey consolation bracket's 11th place game just added the 2 best available free agent on the waiver wire.
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) April 16, 2022
I'm entering the Yahoo #FantasyHockey championship with 9 goalies on my 2 teams. Saros is on both rosters with a tough schedule ahead. Now I can cherry pick the best starts and drop goalies if help is needed up front as the matches progress. We'll see if this strategy works. 🤞🤞
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) April 18, 2022
I have recorded the betting lines for the last 3880 NHL games. Tomorrow's Florida-Detroit tilt is the first moneyline I've seen in the -600s. That's bananas. As much as I love the Panthers, don't pay that price. 🤮 #NHLBetting #BettingTips
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) April 20, 2022
Sunday will feature 5 NHL games with both teams on the second half of a back-to-back. There have been 48 of these this season, with the average goals scored being 6.4. Overs are 28-18-2 in these games. Home teams have won 54%. #NHLBetting #BettingTips
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) April 24, 2022
Look on the bright side Leaf fans, this was your least worst choke in the last few years. Other than blowing a 3-2 series lead, it really wasn't a choke at all. You lost to the defending back-to-back champs, arguably the worst possible opponent you could have faced. #LeafsForever
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) May 15, 2022
Since Oct 2019, the New York Islanders have played 26 games when they were rested against an opponent who played the night before, but only 13 with a rest disadvantage. That +13 ratio was #1 in the league. Meanwhile, #32 was Ottawa at -16 (probably to save money on hotel rooms).
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) June 10, 2022
If you bet $100 on the home moneyline for every game in the Stanley Cup playoffs, you are up $988. But you would have been better off betting every home favorite -1.5 goals, which has returned $2,452 if you wagered $100 on each. #BettingTips
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) June 21, 2022
I'm sure Matthew Tkachuk realized it was important he sign long-term this summer after his 100-point season, because another year in Calgary without Johnny G would likely have delivered a massive point drop, lowering his market value. The time to lock in was now.
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) July 24, 2022
Next season I'll be tracking betting line movement (open & close) for all 1312 games. The primary takeaway from my first 600-game sample; when the market pushes up the price on the home team, they tend to push it too far and make the visitor a more profitable wager. #BettingTips
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) July 27, 2022
Congratulations to Erik Karlsson for capturing his 2nd consecutive Worst NHL Contract championship. Erik is my first back-to-back worst deal since David Clarkson in 2015. Look on the bright side Sharks fans, the team's situation was even worse in 2020. Just a few more years... 😴 https://t.co/P4PEJnFBYo
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) July 29, 2022
One of my favorite follows on Twitter is @hockey_samurai among the best hockey historians on Earth. If you have any affinity for old-time hockey, even just a little bit, you'll thank me for this. Follow. 🙋♂️
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) August 1, 2022
The greatest sports movie that has yet to be made is the biopic of Billy Goldthorpe. Somebody needs to start writing a screenplay and get it to Jared Keeso. @Liams_Hockey pic.twitter.com/qJpO61Hjd8
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) August 2, 2022
My #NHLFreeAgency predictions for 2022 were remarkably accurate for restricted free agents, with a 94% R^2, out of 112 signed thus far. My trend line also fits perfectly along the x=y axis, so I neither over-predicted or under-predicted the group. How did Evolving Hockey perform? pic.twitter.com/61CxG7q5QY
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) August 5, 2022
Remember my poll from last summer of which RFA goaltender was a bigger bargain and Igor Shesterkin got exactly 0% of the vote? 😯
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) August 6, 2022
Fast forward 1-year and it's one of the best contracts in the league... 🤦♂️ https://t.co/FL9TTGp7aZ
I published a pair of books in 2020 describing the 15 best and worst contracts each NHL team had signed in the salary cap era. Later I decided it was better to have online and updated annually. So this fall each list will be updated with new deals and posted on my blog for free.
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) August 12, 2022
Which NHL General Manager has given out the most money (adjusted for cap inflation) to players aged 30 or higher in the salary cap era?
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) August 14, 2022
1. Lou Lamoriello $1.02B
2. Ken Holland $914M
3. Doug Wilson $816M
4. David Poile $814M
5. Doug Armstrong $665M
Calgary #Flames fans should be optimistic about the next 2-3 seasons but giving out $133M to 2 players who will be over 30 yrs old for their entire contracts carries significant risk. Kadri-Huberdeau will be in the "disasters waiting to happen" section of my 2022 worst contracts.
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) August 19, 2022
In my 3 Yahoo #FantasyHockey mock drafts, Miro Heiskanen has gone 92, 96, and 97 (two of those were me). Looks like he'll be on my sleeper list too, if that ADP holds. Strange that people are sleeping on a potential Norris candidate. Won't be competing for PP ice with Klingberg.
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) August 28, 2022
If J.T Miller was 24 years old, I'd say that 7 years $56M is a fantastic contract. But he'll be turning 30 before it even begins, has logged over 1000 career hits on his odometer and has only surpassed 58 PTS twice in his career (3 times in PTS per 82 GP). Just saying... #Canucks
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) September 3, 2022
As a Red Wings fan, it did not bother me at all that Colorado won the Stanley Cup. I can't dislike MacKinnon or Makar. I always respected Sakic. Most of my hate was directed at Patrick Roy and Claude Lemieux. There's no hate in my heart for the current roster. #LGRW
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) September 7, 2022
The depth charts and projections in the Hockey News UItimate Pool Guide might be the worst I've ever seen them. They absolutely sent this to the publisher way too early, and have dozens of players either on the wrong team, or no team at all. Don't waste your money on this trash.
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) September 8, 2022
Canada will be dropping vaccine requirements at the border right before the NHL season starts. I suppose that means I need to boost my Tyler Bertuzzi games played projection. #FantasyHockey
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) September 21, 2022
Yahoo has Alexandar Georgiev projected for 15 wins in 55 GP and Pavel Francouz for 16 wins in 27 GP. If that forecast is accurate, Colorado should finish well outside a playoff spot.... 🤨 #FantasyHockey
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) September 28, 2022
It's remarkable how little Yahoo #FantasyHockey average draft positions have changed since September 1st when hardly any leagues had drafted. That's how big an impact their "xRank" has on draft position. There are so many zombie/autodraft teams that nobody can ever fall too far.
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) September 30, 2022
Anyone who drafted Brad Lambert in a dynasty league has to be feeling pretty good... #FantasyHockey
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) October 2, 2022
Note to self: Arizona, Montreal, Chicago, and Philadelphia are a combined 2-19 in the NHL preseason... 😬 #NHLBetting
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) October 8, 2022
Let Tankapalooza begin! 🥳💰
If you are going on Twitter to complain about Steve Simonds, then at least spell his name wrong. When he writes deliberately douchey things, he wants everyone to be pissed off so he can trend on social media. I haven't read any of his work in decades because he's an idiot. 🤪
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) October 11, 2022
Yahoo+ is trying to entice me to sign-up for a 7 day free trial to "unlock your team's positional strength and more" by offering sample suggestions like drop Jack Hughes, add Pierre-Luc Dubois and drop Arturri Lehkonen, add Rickard Rakell. WTF? Terrible advice.🤦♂️ #FantasyHockey
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) October 15, 2022
If you bet $100 on every Spittin Chiclets Specials parlay endorsed by @mattmurley19 so far this season, you are up $1,830 (unless I missed any). That doesn't seem sustainable, but is remarkable none the less. Has Portnoy's net worth taken a hit this week? 🔥 https://t.co/IPzpMXWqHu
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) October 20, 2022
This might be my favorite hockey story of all-time. I hope Steve Simmons had hot dogs for dinner tonight... 🖕 #NHLironman https://t.co/QBYQeMgNO8
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) October 26, 2022
Note to self: The Florida Panthers are not as good as last season. 📉 #NHLBetting
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) October 28, 2022
I’m proud to announce that my third book The Hockey Economist’s Betting Prospectus is now available in the Amazon store. It's a comprehensive commentary on the last 3 seasons of #NHLBetting both my own results and overall market trends.
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) November 3, 2022
To read more:🖱️👇https://t.co/rvBb9iJxXF
The new Chiclets podcast featuring @mattmurley19 and @armdog is already among my favorites. My only complaint is; once per month isn't going to quench my thirst. Don't be shy to mix in a few short shifts. Also "Check the Game Notes" is a better/awesome name for the pod. ✅
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) November 5, 2022
Well this is cool, according to Amazon my new hockey betting book is the "#1 new release in sports gambling". Before I get too excited, I should check to make sure it's not the only new release in sports gambling in the Amazon store... 🙄 #GamblingTwitterhttps://t.co/Z6Ef4XqCRq
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) November 7, 2022
Arizona ML +230 ✅ Arizona -1.5 goals +550 ✅
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) November 11, 2022
🥳
If you bet $100 on the Coyotes to win every game this season by at least 2 goals, you have banked $1,990. And yes, that ranks them #1 in the NHL in that category. 😮 (Buffalo is next at $1,210) #NHLpicks #HockeyTwitter
If you bet $100 on every "over" this NHL season, you've lost $2,975. 📉 #NHLpicks
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) December 1, 2022
The St. Louis Blues followed up an 8-game losing streak with a 7-game winning streak then lost 5 of the next 6. They suck, they're awesome, they suck again; making me look smart for writing a rule in my new betting book "never trust the St.Louis Blues to win or lose". #NHLpicks
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) December 5, 2022
I'd like to add a new rule to my hockey betting manifesto: "never take a victory lap after one period of play, even with a 4-goal lead". Though my initial point that Vancouver shouldn't have been a heavy favorite is still valid. Sorry of I jinxed anyone's Habs bet... 😔 #NHLpicks https://t.co/Xr8CmbI8CW
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) December 6, 2022
Of course I broke my streak of 18 consecutive games betting Arizona to win, staying on the bandwagon too long as they lost 10 of 11 games...betting the Boston moneyline and puckline tonight. Then my damned #Yotes beat the best team in the league as a +275 dog. 🤦♂️ https://t.co/34v9OsuQue
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) December 10, 2022
If Jonathan Huberdeau is going to be a 60ish point player in Calgary, then the salary cap would need to go up to about $140M for him to be worth $10.5M per season. We're not quite there yet... 😬 #Flames https://t.co/xGSYCJ1WWz
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) December 13, 2022
One of my 23 predictions for 2023 is that Canada not only wins the gold medal at the World Junior championship, they won't lose a single game. My prediction list doesn't come out until New Year's Eve, but the tournament is starting, so I should go on the record now. #WorldJuniors
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) December 24, 2022
Chandler Stephenson (who recently found his way onto one of my #FantasyHockey rosters) has scored 14 PTS in his last 7 GP. 😮📈 #VegasBorn
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) December 26, 2022
All 15 of the Detroit Red Wings worst contracts in the salary cap era came in a 4 year window between Lidstrom's retirement and the end of their playoff streak. Holland got dumber trying to fill an impossible void. #LGRW
— Hockey Economist (@Hockeconomics) December 28, 2022
To read more #HockeyTwitter:🖱️👇https://t.co/LPi1DMRwnd
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