This was originally published in my 2020 book The Definitive Guide to Salary Mismanagement, and has now been updated with new contracts. I will continue to update each team’s list every summer going forward. The rule is that only active contracts can move up or down. Expired deals cannot pass each other. Next summer it may even be expanded to top 20. The book is still available on Amazon, though some of the stats on active contracts are now out of date. You may yet find it interesting because there were detailed stat graphics that you won't find here.
My
latest book The Hockey Economist’s Betting
Prospectus is now available. It's a
comprehensive commentary on the last 3 years of hockey betting, broken down by
team, by category, by strategy, by season. There is plenty of useful
information for bettors of all skill levels. It covers pre-pandemic,
peak-pandemic, post-pandemic. What worked, what failed. Lessons learned, market
trends, team-by-team analysis. What impact did the pandemic have on hockey
betting? The market differences between these 3 seasons are discussed at
length, and there's a lot to talk about. To read more, visit the Amazon
store.
If you’d like to browse my other best/worst contract lists, click here. Enjoy!
Please
note: The formatting on the graphics got scrambled being copied from Excel into
Google Blogger. It's among the reasons my blog is looking for a new home.
Their most successful deals are mostly uninspiring short-term bridges, struggling to hit home runs when attempting to swing for longer term. But that’s not for a lack of trying. Chuck Fletcher, GM for 9 seasons, was not shy to swing for the fences, but would suffer some painful strikeouts (especially between 2012-2014).
Signed By: |
Chuck Fletcher |
Position: |
F |
|
Date: |
2012-07-04 |
Age July 1st: |
27 |
|
Term: |
13 years |
|
Playoff GP: |
40 |
Total Money: |
$98M |
|
Playoff PTS: |
34 |
Cap Hit: |
$7.5M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
PTS |
SOG |
ATOI |
Total |
107.2 |
558 |
400 |
1707 |
|
Per 82 GP |
8.2 |
82 |
59 |
251 |
18.4 |
"These signings will resonate well with our fans, with our players and with everybody associated with the team"Zach Parise experienced a production decline from 82 PTS in 2010, down to 69 PTS in 2012 before becoming an unrestricted free agent. That did not cool demand for his services on the open market, as the New Jersey Devils advanced to the Stanley Cup finals in Parise’s last season with the team, thanks in large part to his outstanding play. The threat of another labour dispute and work stoppage hung over the league that summer, as Gary Bettman made it clear that the back-diving contract loophole would be closed in the next CBA. Parise and Ryan Suter were the hottest commodities available, and they teamed up to take their talents to Minnesota. Chuck Fletcher was willing to do whatever it took to land the duo.
Signed By: |
Chuck Fletcher |
Position: |
D |
|
Date: |
2012-07-04 |
Age July 1st: |
27 |
|
Term: |
13 years |
|
Playoff GP: |
46 |
Total Money: |
$98M |
|
Playoff PTS: |
17 |
Cap Hit: |
$7.5M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
PTS |
SOG |
ATOI |
Total |
107.2 |
656 |
369 |
1225 |
|
Per 82 GP |
8.2 |
82 |
46 |
153 |
27.0 |
There was a time in the summer of 2020 when I started to question whether or not the Ryan Suter contract was actually bad. He had mostly earned his cap hit for the first 8 seasons, and if the Wild could simply pull a Marian Hossa and figure out a way to stash him on LTIR when the backdive started to avoid cap recapture, this might not be bad at all."WE GOT ‘EM!"
Signed By: |
Chuck Fletcher |
Position: |
F |
|
Date: |
2013-10-02 |
Age July 1st: |
31 |
|
Term: |
5 years |
|
Playoff GP: |
21 |
Total Money: |
$28M |
|
Playoff PTS: |
14 |
Cap Hit: |
$5.6M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
PTS |
SOG |
ATOI |
Total |
31.5 |
390 |
202 |
917 |
|
Per 82 GP |
6.3 |
82 |
42 |
193 |
15.3 |
“When you see a team that’s heading in that direction, I mean, why wouldn’t you want to be here? We’re fortunate to get it done, and hopefully we can add some more pieces to the puzzle to make it even better.”The Minnesota Wild paid a hefty price to acquire Jason Pominville from the Buffalo Sabres with 1 year remaining until he was due to become UFA, giving up Johan Larsson, a prospect, plus 1st and 2nd round picks. Jason never made it to market with Fletcher locking him into this extension months early, enticing him to stay by offering a generous 5-year term after Jason’s 30th birthday.
Signed By: |
Doug Risebrough |
Position: |
D |
|
Date: |
2008-02-23 |
Age July 1st: |
25 |
|
Term: |
6 years |
|
Playoff GP: |
2 |
Total Money: |
$21M |
|
Playoff PTS: |
0 |
Cap Hit: |
$3.5M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
PTS |
SOG |
ATOI |
Total |
28.5 |
432 |
69 |
296 |
|
Per 82 GP |
4.8 |
82 |
13 |
56 |
19.5 |
"He's been steady. He's been solid for us. He's been growing as a player, too. He's been playing much better"Nick Schultz had never exceeded 15 PTS in a season when he signed this extension, a few months before he was set to become an unrestricted free agent. If Doug Risebrough wanted to retain the defenseman, he’d be forced to pay a UFA price, I’m just not convinced there was another team willing to go this high for this long.
Signed By: |
Doug Risebrough |
Position: |
F |
|
Date: |
2006-07-01 |
Age July 1st: |
29 |
|
Term: |
5 years |
|
Playoff GP: |
6 |
Total Money: |
$13.25M |
|
Playoff PTS: |
1 |
Cap Hit: |
$2.65M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
PTS |
SOG |
ATOI |
Total |
20.7 |
142 |
69 |
236 |
|
Per 82 GP |
4.1 |
82 |
40 |
136 |
14.6 |
"Make no mistake, our goal is to bring a championship to Minnesota"Mark Parrish was a Minnesota boy who played at St. Cloud State. When he made his first foray into unrestricted free agency at age 29, he decided to make the journey home, accepting a 5-year deal on July 1st. Parrish had peaked at 60 PTS in 2002, but otherwise never topped 50 PTS in his career, scoring 49 PTS in 76 GP before reaching the open market.
Signed By: |
Chuck Fletcher |
Position: |
F |
|
Date: |
2014-07-01 |
Age July 1st: |
30 |
|
Term: |
3 years |
|
Playoff GP: |
10 |
Total Money: |
$19.5M |
|
Playoff PTS: |
4 |
Cap Hit: |
$6.5M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
PTS |
SOG |
ATOI |
Total |
22.6 |
154 |
93 |
317 |
|
Per 82 GP |
7.5 |
82 |
50 |
169 |
15.9 |
While Thomas Vanek was unquestionably overpaid on the infamous Kevin Lowe offer sheet, he still scored 209 goals over those 7 years. There was still demand for what he provided, mostly goals. When he was traded to the Islanders as a rental in 2014, he reportedly turned down a 7-year $50M contract offer from Garth Snow, citing concern about their arena situation (and saving Garth Snow from a terrible mistake). Vanek became an unrestricted free agent for the first time at age 30 after scoring 68 PTS in 78 GP. When July 1st came to pass, Vanek signed for 3 years $19.5M, a full $30M less than Snow’s offer. Minnesota was offering a similar salary, but only on a 3-year term."It's beyond my wildest dreams"
Signed By: |
Chuck Fletcher |
Position: |
G |
|
Date: |
2013-06-24 |
Age July 1st: |
35 |
|
Term: |
3 years |
|
Playoff Wins: |
0 |
Total Money: |
$10.25M |
|
Playoff SV%: |
0.000 |
Cap Hit: |
$3.4M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Avg Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
W |
GAA |
SV% |
Total |
4.1 |
44 |
12 |
3.06 |
0.893 |
“Hopefully, this isn’t the last contract he signs with us.”Niklas Backstrom had already passed his 35th birthday when Chuck Fletcher decided to give him a 3-year extension, days before he could have become UFA. Chuck should have let him walk. Each year of this contract became the new worst season of Backstrom’s NHL career, as he became a below average, over-priced back-up goalie.
Signed By: |
Chuck Fletcher |
Position: |
F |
|
Date: |
2009-07-01 |
Age July 1st: |
28 |
|
Term: |
6 years |
|
Playoff GP: |
8 |
Total Money: |
$30M |
|
Playoff PTS: |
3 |
Cap Hit: |
$5M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
PTS |
SOG |
ATOI |
Total |
39.4 |
278 |
183 |
655 |
|
Per 82 GP |
6.6 |
82 |
54 |
193 |
17.1 |
Martin Havlat struggled to stay healthy after the 2005 lockout, only playing 18, 56, and 35 games per season over a 3-year span. The good news for Marty was that he played a full 81 games in 2009 before becoming an unrestricted free agent, scoring 77 PTS, earning himself a lucrative long-term deal. The bad news, he never again came close to 77 PTS."He is a terrific two-way player"
Signed By: |
Doug Risebrough |
Position: |
D |
|
Date: |
2006-07-01 |
Age July 1st: |
30 |
|
Term: |
4 years |
|
Playoff GP: |
10 |
Total Money: |
$19.4M |
|
Playoff PTS: |
1 |
Cap Hit: |
$4.85M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
PTS |
SOG |
ATOI |
Total |
31.1 |
297 |
90 |
372 |
|
Per 82 GP |
7.8 |
82 |
25 |
103 |
23.6 |
"I don't look at it as a different approach. That's just what the plan is. I don't think I would do it any other way. ... I knew at some point, this was going to happen."For 3 years before the 2005 lockout, Kim Johnsson was a minute-eating defenseman and consistent offensive contributor in the 10-goal, 40-point range. The Swede was on pace for similar numbers in 2006 before a concussion ended his season prematurely. The injury did not deter Doug Risebrough from getting his autograph on a big-ticket July 1st, shortly after Kim’s 30th birthday.
Signed By: |
Paul Fenton |
Position: |
F |
|
Date: |
2018-07-25 |
Age July 1st: |
26 |
|
Term: |
5 years |
|
Playoff GP: |
11 |
Total Money: |
$27.5M |
|
Playoff PTS: |
5 |
Cap Hit: |
$5.5M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
PTS |
SOG |
ATOI |
Total |
27.9 |
220 |
118 |
494 |
|
Per 82 GP |
5.6 |
82 |
44 |
184 |
16.2 |
"We see Jason as being a big part of now and in the future."Paul Fenton signed Jason Zucker to this 5-year treaty after a 33-goal, 64-point season. Given that stat line, Zucker was theoretically worth every penny. The problem was, he topped his previous career best be nearly 20 PTS and has not even come close to hitting that height again. Year one JZ was back to being a 40-point winger and Fenton’s ass got fired.
Signed By: |
Chuck Fletcher |
Position: |
F |
|
Date: |
2012-02-19 |
Age July 1st: |
28 |
|
Term: |
3 years |
|
Playoff GP: |
27 |
Total Money: |
$8.5M |
|
Playoff PTS: |
8 |
Cap Hit: |
$2.8M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
PTS |
SOG |
ATOI |
Total |
10.7 |
202 |
56 |
289 |
|
Per 82 GP |
3.6 |
82 |
23 |
117 |
15.3 |
“I’m happy to be part of the organization for a few more years and looking forward to it.”Kyle Brodziak was having by far the best season of his career as he on a collision course with unrestricted free agency in 2012, peaking with perfect timing. Chuck Fletcher managed to get his autograph on an extension prior to the trade deadline. The Wild more than doubled Brodziak’s salary from his previous contract and were rewarded with about half as much production.
Signed By: |
Doug Risebrough |
Position: |
G |
|
Date: |
2006-03-03 |
Age July 1st: |
31 |
|
Term: |
3 years |
|
Playoff Wins: |
0 |
Total Money: |
$13M |
|
Playoff SV%: |
0.000 |
Cap Hit: |
$4.3M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Avg Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
W |
GAA |
SV% |
Total |
7.2 |
76 |
40 |
2.65 |
0.907 |
“I definitely have worked really hard in practice. I’ve tried to get my focus back, so we’ll see what that will lead to”Manny Fernandez was sensational in 2006, finishing 5th in the NHL in goals saved above average during an offensive explosion courtesy of the obstruction crackdown. Unfortunately, he would never be nearly that good ever again. The term was relatively small, but the salary put him in the 10 highest paid goalies in the league.
Signed By: |
Chuck Fletcher |
Position: |
F |
|
Date: |
2013-07-05 |
Age July 1st: |
34 |
|
Term: |
3 years |
|
Playoff GP: |
13 |
Total Money: |
$7.5M |
|
Playoff PTS: |
5 |
Cap Hit: |
$2.5M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
PTS |
SOG |
ATOI |
Total |
9.1 |
111 |
38 |
128 |
|
Per 82 GP |
3.0 |
82 |
28 |
95 |
14.7 |
“I just think Matt is, to be honest with you, an ideal third-line left winger. For our team right now, we’re in the process of learning how to win, of how to become a better team. Players like Matt bring different dimensions. But he has become a really good two-way hockey player”It’s hard to say what Chuck Fletcher saw in Matt Cooke that he felt warranted this much money and term. Cookie scored a career high 19 goals for the Pittsburgh Penguins in 2012 at age 33, scoring this contract one year later. If Chuck thought he was getting a 20-goal scorer, he miscalculated.
Signed By: |
Bill Guerin |
Position: |
D |
|
Date: |
2019-09-14 |
Age July 1st: |
30 |
|
Term: |
7 years |
|
Playoff GP: |
13 |
Total Money: |
$53M |
|
Playoff PTS: |
6 |
Cap Hit: |
$7.6M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
PTS |
SOG |
ATOI |
Total |
53.2 |
119 |
65 |
210 |
|
Per 82 GP |
7.6 |
82 |
45 |
145 |
21.6 |
“We love Jared. He's a homegrown guy. He's been here for his whole career and we want him to be here his whole career.”The problem with including Jared Spurgeon’s current contract on this list is that it has not officially turned bad. Even at age 32 he’s still playing at the level of a $6M D-man. Two years into a 7-year contract, Spurgeon is more “overpaid” than “financial calamity”, but he raises a lot of red flags when I run the numbers into career modelling to project the remaining term. In my worst NHL contract polling in 2021 and 2022, Spurgeon solicited a significant number of votes, cracking the top 15 in 2021 when he scored at a 38-point pace.
Signed By: |
Doug Risebrough |
Position: |
G |
|
Date: |
2009-03-03 |
Age July 1st: |
31 |
|
Term: |
4 years |
|
Playoff Wins: |
0 |
Total Money: |
$24M |
|
Playoff SV%: |
0.000 |
Cap Hit: |
$6M |
|
Stanley Cups: |
0 |
|
Avg Adj Cap Hit |
GP |
W |
GAA |
SV% |
Total |
8.1 |
199 |
91 |
2.59 |
0.911 |
"I have improved my game a lot during these two-and-a-half years here, and think I can be better in the future"Niklas Backstrom was sensational in 2009, earning himself a Vezina Trophy nomination after posting 37 wins, a .923 SV% and 28 goals saved above average. In March of that season, Risebrough signed him to this 4-year extension a month after his 31st birthday. The following year, the Finnish gatekeeper went from substantially above average, to significantly below (.903 SV%, -13 goals allowed below average).
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