Wednesday, January 16, 2013

2013 NHL Top 500 Scorers Forecast

Here are my scoring projections for the lockout shortened 2013 season. May the hockey Gods bless any of you passionate enough to jump back in and compete in a hockey pool this season. The games played projections are just a guess, since the probability of injury of individual players is different in a compressed 48 game schedule compared to a full season.

Player  Team E[GP] E[PTS]
1 Evgeni Malkin PIT 48 65
2 Sidney Crosby PIT 43 64
3 Claude Giroux PHI 48 51
4 Alexander Ovechkin WSH 48 51
5 Steven Stamkos TBL 48 50
6 Jordan Eberle EDM 47 47
7 Jason Spezza OTT 48 47
8 Joe Thornton SJS 48 46
9 Zach Parise MIN 48 45
10 John Tavares NYI 48 45
11 Ilya Kovalchuk NJD 46 44
12 Rick Nash NYR 48 44
13 Henrik Sedin VAN 48 44
14 Daniel Sedin VAN 48 42
15 Henrik Zetterberg DET 48 42
16 Jonathan Toews CHI 48 42
17 Phil Kessel TOR 48 41
18 Patrick Kane CHI 48 41
19 Eric Staal CAR 48 41
20 Taylor Hall EDM 46 41
21 Alexander Semin CAR 48 40
22 Martin St Louis TBL 47 40
23 Pavel Datsyuk DET 43 39
24 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins EDM 45 39
25 Logan Couture SJS 47 39
26 Erik Karlsson OTT 48 39
27 James Neal PIT 48 38
28 Joe Pavelski SJS 48 38
29 Jamie Benn DAL 46 38
30 Tyler Seguin BOS 48 38
31 Brad Richards NYR 48 37
32 Patrick Sharp CHI 48 37
33 Patrik Elias NJD 48 37
34 Thomas Vanek BUF 48 37
35 David Krejci BOS 48 37
36 Corey Perry ANA 48 37
37 David Desharnais MTL 48 37
38 Loui Eriksson DAL 48 37
39 Mikko Koivu MIN 44 36
40 Jarome Iginla CGY 48 36
41 Jordan Staal CAR 45 36
42 Nicklas Backstrom WSH 35 35
43 Ray Whitney DAL 48 34
44 Ryan Getzlaf ANA 48 34
45 Patrice Bergeron BOS 44 34
46 Marcus Foligno BUF 48 34
47 Blake Wheeler WPG 48 34
48 Mike Ribeiro WSH 46 33
49 Patrick Marleau SJS 48 33
50 Mikhail Grabovski TOR 48 33
51 Jason Pominville BUF 45 33
52 Anze Kopitar LAK 38 33
53 Paul Stastny COL 46 32
54 Max Pacioretty MTL 45 32
55 Rich Peverley BOS 46 32
56 Valtteri Filppula DET 48 32
57 Gabriel Landeskog COL 48 32
58 Olli Jokinen WPG 48 32
59 Marian Gaborik NYR 38 32
60 Joffrey Lupul TOR 40 32
61 Bobby Ryan ANA 48 31
62 Derek Stepan NYR 48 31
63 Teemu Selanne ANA 43 31
64 Vinny Prospal CBJ 48 31
65 Scott Hartnell PHI 48 31
66 Dustin Brown LAK 48 31
67 Tomas Plekanec MTL 43 31
68 Frans Nielsen NYI 48 31
69 Milan Lucic BOS 48 31
70 Matt Moulson NYI 48 30
71 Milan Michalek OTT 43 30
72 Kris Versteeg FLA 48 30
73 Mark Streit NYI 47 29
74 Sam Gagner EDM 47 29
75 Teddy Purcell TBL 48 29
76 Stephen Weiss FLA 48 29
77 Evander Kane WPG 48 29
78 Bryan Little WPG 48 29
79 Dany Heatley MIN 48 29
80 Martin Erat NSH 43 28
81 PA Parenteau COL 48 28
82 Tyler Ennis BUF 43 28
83 Andrew Ladd WPG 48 28
84 Chris Kunitz PIT 48 28
85 Jeff Skinner CAR 43 28
86 T.J. Oshie STL 48 28
87 Brad Marchand BOS 48 28
88 Daniel Alfredsson OTT 44 28
89 Alexander Steen STL 46 28
90 Sergei Kostitsyn NSH 45 28
91 Matt Duchene COL 44 27
92 Alex Tanguay CGY 45 27
93 Jussi Jokinen CAR 48 27
94 Dustin Byfuglien WPG 45 27
95 Cam Atkinson CBJ 44 27
96 Mike Richards LAK 47 27
97 Andrew Shaw CHI 45 27
98 Kyle Turris OTT 48 27
99 Justin Williams LAK 48 27
100 Michael Ryder DAL 48 27
101 Zdeno Chara BOS 48 27
102 David Backes STL 48 27
103 Mikael Samuelsson DET 45 27
104 Johan Franzen DET 44 27
105 Radim Vrbata PHX 46 26
106 Vincent Lecavalier TBL 40 26
107 Devin Setoguchi MIN 43 26
108 Daniel Briere PHI 40 26
109 Kris Letang PIT 42 26
110 Clarke MacArthur TOR 47 26
111 Ryan Callahan NYR 47 26
112 Erik Cole MTL 48 26
113 Alexandre Burrows VAN 48 26
114 Derek Roy DAL 45 26
115 Jakub Voracek PHI 42 26
116 Wayne Simmonds PHI 48 26
117 Ales Hemsky EDM 43 26
118 Mike Cammalleri CGY 42 26
119 Ryan O'Reilly COL 48 25
120 Ryane Clowe SJS 46 25
121 Artem Anisimov CBJ 48 25
122 Drew Stafford BUF 48 25
123 Shane Doan PHX 48 25
124 Craig Smith NSH 46 25
125 Derick Brassard CBJ 45 25
126 Justin Schultz EDM 46 25
127 Shea Weber NSH 48 25
128 Jeff Carter LAK 41 25
129 Martin Hanzal PHX 45 25
130 Andy McDonald STL 35 25
131 Brooks Laich WSH 48 25
132 Martin Havlat SJS 40 25
133 Jaromir Jagr DAL 44 24
134 Nikolai Kulemin TOR 48 24
135 Chris Stewart STL 48 24
136 Matt Read PHI 48 24
137 Travis Zajac NJD 45 24
138 Pascal Dupuis PIT 48 24
139 Brandon Dubinsky CBJ 46 24
140 Tobias Enstrom WPG 46 24
141 Dwight King LAK 45 24
142 Tyler Bozak TOR 46 24
143 Nikita Nikitin CBJ 45 24
144 Adam Henrique NJD 38 24
145 David Legwand NSH 46 23
146 Patrik Berglund STL 48 23
147 Colin Greening OTT 48 23
148 David Clarkson NJD 48 23
149 Brian Campbell FLA 48 23
150 Marcus Johansson WSH 48 23
151 Dan Boyle SJS 48 23
152 Carl Hagelin NYR 44 23
153 Drew Doughty LAK 46 23
154 Kevin Shattenkirk STL 48 23
155 Patric Hornqvist NSH 47 23
156 Kyle Okposo NYI 45 23
157 Alexander Edler VAN 46 23
158 Nik Antropov WPG 43 22
159 Ryan Malone TBL 40 22
160 Duncan Keith CHI 48 22
161 Michael Grabner NYI 44 22
162 Kyle Wellwood WPG 44 22
163 Mike Fisher NSH 46 22
164 David Perron STL 36 22
165 Ryan Kesler VAN 35 22
166 Josh Bailey NYI 48 22
167 Viktor Stalberg CHI 46 22
168 Curtis Glencross CGY 44 22
169 Lauri Korpikoski PHX 48 22
170 Steve Ott BUF 45 22
171 Christian Ehrhoff BUF 46 22
172 Ryan Suter MIN 48 22
173 Sean Couturier PHI 47 21
174 Oliver Ekman-Larsson PHX 46 21
175 Michael Del Zotto NYR 42 21
176 Tomas Fleischmann FLA 35 21
177 Alex Pietrangelo STL 40 21
178 Keith Yandle PHX 48 21
179 Nick Foligno CBJ 48 21
180 RJ Umberger CBJ 48 21
181 Dennis Wideman CGY 48 21
182 Sven Baertschi CGY 40 21
183 Saku Koivu ANA 44 21
184 Brandon Sutter PIT 48 21
185 Marcus Kruger CHI 48 21
186 Jannik Hansen VAN 48 21
187 Nick Leddy CHI 48 21
188 Brayden Schenn PHI 48 20
189 Antoine Vermette PHX 48 20
190 Steve Sullivan PHX 46 20
191 Slava Voynov LAK 48 20
192 Steve Downie COL 45 20
193 Lars Eller MTL 47 20
194 Casey Wellman FLA 48 20
195 Tuomo Ruutu CAR 40 20
196 Marian Hossa CHI 25 20
197 Tim Connolly TOR 42 20
198 Ryan Smyth EDM 45 20
199 Chris Kreider NYR 48 20
200 James Van Riemsdyk TOR 43 20
201 Cody Hodgson BUF 40 20
202 James Wisniewski CBJ 44 20
203 Tyler Kennedy PIT 45 20
204 Sergei Gonchar OTT 45 20
205 Jiri Hudler CGY 42 20
206 Victor Hedman TBL 44 20
207 Mikkel Boedker PHX 48 20
208 Milan Hejduk COL 46 20
209 Kyle Palmieri ANA 48 20
210 Justin Faulk CAR 48 19
211 Chris Higgins VAN 45 19
212 Dion Phaneuf TOR 45 19
213 Colin Wilson NSH 45 19
214 Mathieu Perreault WSH 41 19
215 Kyle Brodziak MIN 48 19
216 Dmitri Kulikov FLA 42 19
217 Brendan Smith DET 48 19
218 Dave Bolland CHI 45 19
219 David Jones COL 45 19
220 Gabriel Bourque NSH 38 19
221 Jiri Tlusty CAR 45 18
222 Simon Gagne LAK 40 18
223 Alexei Ponikarovsky WPG 46 18
224 Adam Larsson NJD 48 18
225 Marcel Goc FLA 45 18
226 Marek Zidlicky NJD 44 18
227 Spencer Machacek WPG 35 18
228 Ryan McDonagh NYR 48 18
229 John-Michael Liles TOR 45 18
230 Jamie McBain CAR 48 18
231 Damien Brunner DET 45 18
232 Mark Scheifele WPG 46 18
233 Kevin Bieksa VAN 44 18
234 Tyler Myers BUF 45 18
235 Roman Josi NSH 43 18
236 Kimmo Timonen PHI 47 18
237 Jack Johnson CBJ 48 18
238 Brent Burns SJS 48 18
239 Ryan Johansen CBJ 44 18
240 Dainius Zubrus NJD 48 18
241 Cody Eakin DAL 48 18
242 Brad Boyes NYI 46 17
243 Andrei Markov MTL 48 17
244 Alexander Burmistrov WPG 47 17
245 Todd Bertuzzi DET 45 17
246 Andrei Loktionov LAK 46 17
247 Tomas Kaberle MTL 42 17
248 Nail Yakupov EDM 44 17
249 Jason Chimera WSH 48 17
250 Jaden Schwartz STL 45 17
251 Kyle Quincey DET 48 17
252 Filip Kuba FLA 46 17
253 Matt Carle TBL 48 17
254 Yannick Weber MTL 45 17
255 Brian Gionta MTL 40 17
256 Fedor Tyutin CBJ 46 16
257 Cody Franson TOR 46 16
258 Jared Spurgeon MIN 45 16
259 Niklas Kronwall DET 48 16
260 Alex Goligoski DAL 46 16
261 Andrew Cogliano ANA 48 16
262 Raphael Diaz MTL 46 16
263 Lee Stempniak CGY 43 16
264 P.K. Subban MTL 42 16
265 Jason Demers SJS 45 16
266 Matt Cullen MIN 46 16
267 Marc-Andre Bergeron TBL 40 16
268 Nazem Kadri TOR 35 16
269 Guillaume Latendresse OTT 35 16
270 John Carlson WSH 48 16
271 Cam Fowler ANA 48 16
272 Brandon Pirri CHI 40 16
273 Brett Connolly TBL 46 16
274 Bryan Bickell CHI 45 16
275 Pierre-Marc Bouchard MIN 30 16
276 Joni Pitkanen CAR 35 16
277 David Ullstrom NYI 41 15
278 T.J. Galiardi SJS 44 15
279 Brent Seabrook CHI 46 15
280 Peter Regin OTT 42 15
281 Luca Sbisa ANA 48 15
282 Troy Brouwer WSH 48 15
283 Jamie McGinn COL 48 15
284 Sean Bergenheim FLA 44 15
285 Brenden Morrow DAL 40 15
286 Nathan Horton BOS 25 15
287 Luke Adam BUF 40 15
288 Gustav Nyquist DET 38 15
289 Benoit Pouliot TBL 45 15
290 Ben Holmstrom PHI 26 15
291 Daniel Cleary DET 44 15
292 Mark Giordano CGY 46 15
293 Erik Condra OTT 48 15
294 Jordin Tootoo DET 45 15
295 Matt D'Agostini STL 44 15
296 Maxime Talbot PHI 48 15
297 Shawn Horcoff EDM 46 15
298 Matt Stajan CGY 45 15
299 Ian White DET 48 15
300 Joey Crabb WSH 42 14
301 Chad LaRose CAR 42 14
302 Bobby Butler NJD 44 14
303 Mike Green WSH 40 14
304 Dmitry Orlov WSH 42 14
305 Antti Miettinen WPG 45 14
306 Nino Niederreiter NYI 48 14
307 Devante Smith-Pelly ANA 48 14
308 Matt Cooke PIT 46 14
309 Michael Frolik CHI 42 14
310 Corey Potter EDM 45 14
311 Jordan Caron BOS 48 14
312 Rene Bourque MTL 45 14
313 Chris Kelly BOS 45 14
314 David Rundblad PHX 40 14
315 Ryan Ellis NSH 42 14
316 David Savard CBJ 34 14
317 Jacob Josefson NJD 45 14
318 Joe Corvo CAR 46 14
319 Ryan Jones EDM 48 14
320 Matt Halischuk NSH 46 14
321 Mark Letestu CBJ 45 13
322 Stefan Elliott COL 38 13
323 Andrej Meszaros PHI 38 13
324 Dan Hamhuis VAN 45 13
325 Dennis Seidenberg BOS 48 13
326 Jason Garrison VAN 48 13
327 Matthew Lombardi TOR 37 13
328 Drew Miller DET 48 13
329 Erik Johnson COL 44 13
330 Mason Raymond VAN 42 13
331 Wojtek Wolski WSH 35 13
332 Andrew Ebbett VAN 42 13
333 Jake Gardiner TOR 35 13
334 Casey Cizikas NYI 40 13
335 Drayson Bowman CAR 42 13
336 David Booth VAN 35 13
337 Ben Maxwell WPG 48 13
338 Zack Kassian VAN 45 13
339 Andrew MacDonald NYI 45 13
340 Teemu Hartikainen EDM 35 13
341 Tomas Kopecky FLA 48 13
342 Peter Mueller FLA 30 13
343 Zac Dalpe CAR 44 13
344 Mattias Tedenby NJD 44 13
345 TJ Brodie CGY 47 13
346 Travis Hamonic NYI 35 13
347 Vladimir Sobotka STL 46 13
348 Tom Wandell DAL 45 12
349 Mike Santorelli FLA 42 12
350 Darren Helm DET 44 12
351 Ryan Whitney EDM 38 12
352 Jamie Langenbrunner STL 43 12
353 Jonathon Blum NSH 44 12
354 Joe Colborne TOR 25 12
355 Cal Clutterbuck MIN 46 12
356 Ville Leino BUF 44 12
357 Carlo Colaiacovo DET 40 12
358 Roman Horak CGY 38 12
359 Jay Bouwmeester CGY 48 12
360 Carl Gunnarsson TOR 47 12
361 Stephane Robidas DAL 46 12
362 Matt Frattin TOR 44 12
363 Anton Babchuk CGY 35 12
364 Ryan Wilson COL 46 12
365 Blake Comeau CGY 46 12
366 Jarret Stoll LAK 48 12
367 Daniel Winnik ANA 46 11
368 Nathan Gerbe BUF 35 11
369 Zach Bogosian WPG 33 11
370 Tim Brent CAR 43 11
371 Daniel Girardi NYR 48 11
372 Andrew Ference BOS 46 11
373 Jay Harrison CAR 47 11
374 Paul Martin PIT 44 11
375 David Schlemko PHX 44 11
376 Michal Handzus SJS 45 11
377 Alec Martinez LAK 46 11
378 Simon Despres PIT 44 11
379 Daniel Paille BOS 48 11
380 Dustin Penner LAK 42 11
381 Mikael Backlund CGY 40 10
382 Jeff Petry EDM 45 10
383 Nate Thompson TBL 44 10
384 Zack Smith OTT 48 10
385 Eric Wellwood PHI 38 10
386 Anton Stralman NYR 38 10
387 Nick Spaling NSH 46 10
388 Nick Johnson PHX 35 10
389 Louis Leblanc MTL 44 10
390 Kris Russell STL 41 10
391 Marc-Andre Gragnani CAR 30 10
392 Raffi Torres PHX 43 10
393 Trevor Daley DAL 48 10
394 Tom Gilbert MIN 40 10
395 Marc-Edouard Vlasic SJS 48 10
396 Nick Bonino ANA 42 10
397 Mark Olver COL 39 10
398 Derek Dorsett CBJ 42 10
399 Tim Erixon CBJ 46 10
400 Paul Gaustad NSH 46 10
401 Brandon Yip NSH 40 10
402 Niklas Hjalmarsson CHI 48 9
403 Matt Calvert CBJ 25 9
404 Brian Boyle NYR 48 9
405 Grant Clitsome WPG 44 9
406 Marco Scandella MIN 38 9
407 Brandon Prust MTL 48 9
408 Sheldon Souray ANA 40 9
409 Luke Schenn PHI 48 9
410 Michal Rozsival CHI 45 9
411 Kyle Chipchura PHX 38 9
412 Dan Carcillo CHI 40 9
413 Philip Larsen DAL 42 9
414 Taylor Pyatt NYR 46 9
415 Tim Gleason CAR 48 9
416 Chris Neil OTT 44 9
417 Braydon Coburn PHI 48 9
418 Jordan Leopold BUF 47 9
419 Torrey Mitchell MIN 45 9
420 David Moss PHX 42 9
421 Rostislav Klesla PHX 43 9
422 Matt Niskanen PIT 46 9
423 Johnny Boychuk BOS 46 8
424 Kyle Clifford LAK 48 8
425 Andrej Sekera BUF 40 8
426 Andy Greene NJD 46 8
427 Shawn Matthias FLA 38 8
428 Jimmy Hayes CHI 28 8
429 Anthony Stewart CAR 32 8
430 Alexander Sulzer BUF 40 8
431 Joel Ward WSH 48 8
432 Matt Beleskey ANA 35 8
433 Justin Abdelkader DET 48 8
434 Justin Braun SJS 42 8
435 John Mitchell COL 43 8
436 Ladislav Smid EDM 46 8
437 Jim Slater WPG 48 8
438 Derek MacKenzie CBJ 40 8
439 Jeff Halpern NYR 43 8
440 Colby Armstrong MTL 42 8
441 Deryk Engelland PIT 42 8
442 Tommy Wingels SJS 42 8
443 Travis Moen MTL 43 7
444 Erik Gustafsson PHI 31 7
445 Tomas Kubalik CBJ 25 7
446 Kevin Klein NSH 47 7
447 Brad Stuart SJS 48 7
448 Scottie Upshall FLA 39 7
449 David Van Der Gulik COL 31 7
450 Michael Sauer NYR 44 7
451 Marc Staal NYR 43 7
452 Ed Jovanovski FLA 38 7
453 Boyd Gordon PHX 42 7
454 Jeff Woywitka STL 39 7
455 Brian Lee TBL 42 7
456 Jordan Nolan LAK 43 7
457 Chuck Kobasew COL 40 7
458 Steven Kampfer MIN 30 7
459 Benn Ferriero PIT 30 7
460 Adam Burish SJS 44 7
461 Vernon Fiddler DAL 48 7
462 Barret Jackman STL 48 7
463 Greg Campbell BOS 48 7
464 Dustin Jeffrey PIT 25 7
465 Roman Polak STL 42 7
466 Brayden McNabb BUF 25 7
467 Kevin Porter BUF 30 7
468 Cody McLeod COL 47 7
469 Francois Beauchemin ANA 48 6
470 Mark Stuart WPG 45 6
471 Michael Stone PHX 20 6
472 Eric Belanger EDM 46 6
473 Willie Mitchell LAK 45 6
474 Nate Prosser MIN 45 6
475 Steve Bernier NJD 46 6
476 Tim Jackman CGY 46 6
477 Zac Rinaldo PHI 42 6
478 Tom Pyatt TBL 45 6
479 Jay McClement TOR 48 6
480 Mark Fayne NJD 48 6
481 Chris Phillips OTT 48 6
482 Maxim Lapierre VAN 46 6
483 Tyson Strachan FLA 44 6
484 Cody McCormick BUF 35 6
485 Jakub Kindl DET 30 6
486 Sami Salo TBL 30 6
487 Marc-Andre Bourdon PHI 29 6
488 Tomas Vincour DAL 45 6
489 Brooks Orpik PIT 48 6
490 Andrew Desjardins SJS 45 6
491 Alexei Emelin MTL 44 6
492 Jerome Samson CAR 22 6
493 Karl Alzner WSH 48 6
494 Matt Hendricks WSH 48 6
495 Ben Smith CHI 20 5
496 Jim O'Brien OTT 42 5
497 Derek Smith CGY 45 5
498 Eric Brewer TBL 48 5
499 Chris Tanev VAN 27 5
500 Anton Volchenkov NJD 44 5

1 comment:

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