Sunday, February 17, 2019

NHL 2018/19 Week 19 Fantasy Hockey Report

This is my week nineteen fantasy hockey report for those competing in head to head categories or rotisserie leagues. There are both standard and deep league acquisition targets. This is more of a “waiver wire” report, looking for those who are more likely to be available in your league as opposed to the universally owned players. I also do not recommend any players who play 2 games or less over the next 7 days (Monday to Sunday), with a preference for those with 4 or more games.

Best Standard League Adds (20% to 60% Yahoo ownership):

1) Erik Gustafsson, D, Chi, (52% Yahoo ownership): Still available in almost half of leagues, Gustafsson needs to be universally owned next week. The Blackhawks have Ottawa, Detroit, Colorado, and Dallas in the queue and Gusto is on pace for a 55-point season (8 PTS in last 10 GP). This ownership is too low. The Hawks have been producing a ton offense over the last month.

2) Josh Anderson, W, Clb, (49% Yahoo ownership): Anderson has been a steady producer of goals, shots, and hits for most of the season. He’s not a big time point producer but has sustained strong fantasy ownership because of peripheral numbers. The Blue Jackets have 4 games next week, including Mon-Tue, if you want to stack some extra games at the start of your week. Over his last 11 GP, Anderson has scored 8 PTS with 32 shots and 33 hits.

3) Mats Zuccarello, W, NYR, (46% Yahoo ownership): Zuccarello might not even be a Ranger by the end of the week, which could interrupt an otherwise strong schedule. There is some risk if you’re only using him as a streamer, but if he does last until the deadline, it should be a big week for Mats. The Norwegian has 15 PTS in his last 10 GP. We will have to re-evaluate Zuccarello’s value when he does get traded to a new team where he may not get the same generous deployment.

4) Jason Zucker, W, Min, (50% Yahoo ownership): It’s a great schedule for the Wild next week, even if Zucker has not been particularly hot lately (5 PTS in last 11 GP, with 25 shots and 24 hits). He should provide decent peripheral numbers against some weak opponents (Ducks, Wings, Rangers, and the not so weak lately Blues) as the Wild battle to hold on to a playoff spot.

5) Darcy Kuemper, G, Ari, (28% Yahoo ownership): Kuemper shut out the mighty Maple Leafs offense on Saturday and the Coyotes play 4 games next week. This is a volume play, as he’s been getting 80% of the team’s starts over the last month (10 GP, 5 wins, 2.69 GAA, .913 SV%). Kuemper will also probably have to face the Jets and Flames coming up, so there is some risk involved. But he is likely going to play 3 games if you need extra starts and he’s available on many waiver wires.

Last Week: Travis Konecny, Gustav Nyquist, Jordan Binnington, Nolan Patrick, Matt Niskanen

Best Deep League Adds (under 20% ownership):

1) Dominik Kahun, W, Chi, (7% Yahoo ownership): I’m definitely buying stock in the Chicago Blackhawks next week. Kahun has been a beneficiary of the Hawks recent offensive outburst, scoring 9 PTS in his last 7 GP. He’s been a 1% owned player for most of the season, but people have begun to take notice. Even if this scoring rate is not sustainable, Kahun is at the very least a fantastic short-term streamer.

2) Brandon Saad, W, Chi, (16% Yahoo ownership): After scoring just 35 PTS in 82 GP last season, Saad found himself at 26% owned Oct 1. That ownership number has been slowly shrinking each month even though his output has improved, on pace for a 49-point season (8 PTS in his last 10 GP). With the Hawks having a juicy schedule ahead, Saad is a really strong streaming option.

3) Anders Nilsson, G, Ott, (15% Yahoo ownership): Nilsson has put together a good run as Senators goalie since his arrival. This should all come crashing down by the trade deadline, but hopefully that won’t be next week. Over his last 5 GP, Nilsson has 3 wins with a 2.38 GAA and .934 SV%. Craig Anderson was recently hit in the face with a tennis ball, so he could be out for a while. Even if Anderson does return, Nilsson may have secured the #1 job, until he eventually falls apart.

4) Jordan Oesterle, D, Ari, (3% Yahoo ownership): Oesterle has been slowly ascending into relevancy, having now scored 9 PTS in his last 12 GP. I’ve been streaming him regularly in my 18-team league over the past month, and he may have earned himself a permanent roster spot. His shot totals have been very low, but if your league counts blocked shots, Oesterle gets added value.

5) Pavel Buchnevich, W, NYR, (6% Yahoo ownership): When the smoke clears from the trade deadline, Buchnevich is due for a promotion, having scored 6 PTS in his last 9 GP. That increased opportunity may not come in the next 8 days, but he’s going to get a value bump soon. The Rangers do play 4 games in the coming week, so Buchnevich is certainly worth a look in deep leagues.

Last Week: Andreas Athanasiou, Dylan Strome, Jonathan Bernier, Ben Hutton, Jakub Vrana

The 1% (best adds 1% owned or less):

1) Derek Ryan, C, CGY: The biggest problem facing Derek Ryan is a crowded depth chart ahead of him, limiting his deployment. That hasn’t stopped him from scoring 9 PTS in his last 10 GP. The Flames have a great schedule, especially Fri-Sun games against Anaheim and Ottawa. You’ll want Flames on the weekend.

2) Vinnie Hinostroza, W, Ari: This is another player that I seem to be frequently streaming in and out of my line-up lately (8 PTS in his last 12 GP). The Coyotes play 3 games in the first 4 days of the upcoming week all against teams who have been having recent goaltending issues (Edm, Cgy, Van). He’s a great target to stack some extra games at the start of your week, then stream him out for a player who plays twice on the weekend.

3) Cody Ceci, D, Ott: Despite his low ownership %, Ceci has been on my roster in an 18-team league since the draft, mostly due to his peripheral category production. Over his last 11 GP, the kid has scored 6 PTS with 20 shots, 19 hits, and 22 blocks. Ottawa has a busy schedule next week, which makes Ceci a quality streamer.

Last Week: Marcus Johansson, Josh Leivo, Troy Stecher

Safe to drop in Standard Leagues:

1) Justin Faulk, Car: Faulk may still have some usefulness when the Hurricanes have a favorable schedule, but you don’t need to burn a permanent roster spot on him in a shallow league. He’s on pace for a 30-point season and does not need to be 58% owned. He shouldn’t be anything more than a streamer in shallow formats.

2) Rickard Rakell, Ana: The carnage in Anaheim has seen Rakell’s ownership fall down to 64% (a 10% drop in the last 17 days). I own him in a 12-team standard league and have been really close to dropping him (2 PTS in his last 10 GP). The only reason he’s still on my roster is that the Ducks always seem to play on the light schedule nights when I’m most often looking to stream in some extra games.

Last Week: Jake Allen, JT Miller

Sunday, February 10, 2019

NHL 2018/19 Week 18 Fantasy Hockey Report

This is my week eighteen fantasy hockey report for those competing in head to head categories or rotisserie leagues. There are both standard and deep league acquisition targets. This is more of a “waiver wire” report, looking for those who are more likely to be available in your league as opposed to the universally owned players. I also do not recommend any players who play 2 games or less over the next 7 days (Monday to Sunday), with a preference for those with 4 or more games.

Best Standard League Adds (20% to 60% Yahoo ownership):

1) Travis Konecny, W, Phi, (42% Yahoo ownership): Konecny was a solid performer in the 2nd half last season and history appears to be repeating itself. The Flyers play Mon-Tue and Sat-Sun (both against Detroit), so he has added streaming value at either the beginning or end of the week. He has scored 9 PTS in his last 8 GP, so there is also long-term value with Konecny.

2) Gustav Nyquist, W, Det, (51% Yahoo ownership): I traded Nyquist away in my 18-team league out of fear that he’ll be traded at the deadline and get less favourable deployment on his new team. But so long as he’s in Detroit playing with Dylan Larkin (who returned from a brief injury), the outlook is good. Nyquist has sustained quality numbers for several weeks and has scored 9 PTS in his last 10 GP.

3) Jordan Binnington, G, Stl, (57% Yahoo ownership): Most people had no idea who this guy was until early January when he started winning games (9 wins in his last 11). Binnington has a season GAA of 1.70 with a .931 SV%. Add him wherever he’s available and ride this wave for as long as it lasts. I’m skeptical that these numbers are sustainable long-term, but in the context of the remainder of this season, Binnington is a must-own.

4) Nolan Patrick, C, Phi, (20% Yahoo ownership): Like Konecny, Nolan Patrick has started to establish a history of good second half performance. He’s now scored 9 PTS in his last 10 GP, albeit with inconsistent deployment. If you can’t get him into your line-up to start the week, I also love him as a weekend streamer with the Flyers playing a home and home against the Red Wings.

5) Matt Niskanen, D, Wsh, (26% Yahoo ownership): The Capitals play 4 games next week, including a very desirable Sunday game against Anaheim. Niskanen has scored 5 PTS in his last 8 GP, continuing to put up good hit totals with decent shots. This is not the level of player worthy of a permanent roster spot in shallow leagues, but always a useful streamer when the schedules align.

Last Week: Nino Niederreiter, Darcy Kuemper, Jared Spurgeon, Blake Coleman,
Brayden Schenn

Best Deep League Adds (under 20% ownership):

1) Andreas Athanasiou, Det, (17% Yahoo ownership): Athanasiou is always a great deep league streaming option when the Red Wings play four games. He has scored 7 PTS in his last 10 GP and tends to deliver good shot totals. The speedster has seen a substantial increase in ice time thus far in February, averaging over 18 minutes. Still plays too much with Glendening and Helm to be relevant in shallower leagues. If he ever got a permanent deployment with Larkin, then he gets very interesting.

2) Dylan Strome, Chi, (16% Yahoo ownership): It’s really starting to look like Dylan Strome is for real, having scored 13 PTS in his last 9 GP. The Hawks only play 3 games, all on busy nights, so you might have trouble getting him into your line-up this week. This is a long-term roster recommendation. For sure he needs to be owned in more leagues on a permanent basis, but is still a tough add in shallow leagues where there’s an over-abundance of centers.

3) Jonathan Bernier, Det, (4% Yahoo ownership): The Red Wings play 4 games this week, so Bernier has a good chance at getting 2 starts, one near the start and one near the end of the week. The Wings second string goalie has been playing decent hockey lately with a .935 SV% in his last 3 starts. There is also the chance that Jimmy Howard gets traded before the deadline, which would then vault Bernier into the #1 role, at which point he would be a hot add.

4) Ben Hutton, Van, (2% Yahoo ownership): The Canucks are leaning heavily on Hutton right now with Edler injured again (averaging 26:40 over his last 5 GP). This guy needs to be more than 2% owned so long as this deployment lasts. Last game the Canucks had Stecher up on the top power play, with Hutton on the 2nd unit. He was still getting PP time when Edler was healthy too. In my 18-team league, somebody dropped Kevin Shattenkirk to add Hutton.

5) Jakub Vrana, Wsh, (14% Yahoo ownership): Vrana is another player that I’ve recommended multiple times this season as a deep league streamer. The Capitals play 4 games with one against Anaheim. At the very least he’s someone you’ll want to keep in mind for Sunday. Vrana has scored 4 PTS in his last 5 GP, while averaging 15:19 of ice time.

Last Week: Justin Williams, Joonas Korpisalo, Jacob Slavin, Jack Roslovic,
Nick Bonino

The 1% (best adds 1% owned or less):

1) Marcus Johansson, W, NJ: Johansson has made this list before as he’s been getting strong deployment for most of the season. Taylor Hall does not appear to be any closer to returning, which creates opportunity down the depth chart. He appears to be fully healthy and has produced 4 PTS in his last 6 GP.

2) Josh Leivo, W, Van: Another Canuck who has been getting good deployment lately, averaging over 16 minutes in his last 5 GP, with 5 PTS. The team will be in California this week, which is not as difficult an assignment as past years. If you want to stream players who play against Anaheim, here’s one that’s available in a bunch of leagues.

3) Troy Stecher, D, Van: I have never been a big believer in Troy Stecher, but the Canucks played him 26 minutes in the last game with over 6m on the power play. His ice time has jumped significantly since the Edler injury and has managed to produce 3 PTS in his last 6 GP. If he gets that PP1 assignment against the Ducks, look out.

Last Week: Oskar Sundqvist, Jordan Oesterle, Evan Rodrigues

Safe to drop in Standard Leagues:

1) Jake Allen, G, Stl: Allen is still owned in 58% of Yahoo leagues despite only starting 3 games in the last 30 days. So long as Jordan Binnington is winning, Allen is going to be sitting on the bench. Fantasy playoffs are coming, and I’m not sure you want a 2nd string Allen burning a spot on your roster.

2) JT Miller, W, TB: It’s not been a good 30 days for Miller, who has scored only 3 PTS in 11 GP while averaging 12:12 of ice time. He’s still at 31% Yahoo ownership, and there’s room for that number to sink even lower if this deployment and production continues.

Last Week: Cam Talbot, Charlie McAvoy

Sunday, February 3, 2019

January 2019 Fantasy Hockey Stock Market Report

Since the beginning of the season I have been tracking player ownership and statistics month by month on Yahoo. At the end of every month posting the top risers and fallers in ownership.  I've decided to combine the two into a monthly Fantasy Stock Market Report while adding some all-star teams and not-star teams. All the numbers listed below are entirely for the month of January (unless stated otherwise).

Best Value:

January All-Star Team: Best players for the month by position.

C) Sebastian Aho, Car: 12 GP, 18 PTS
W) Patrick Kane, Chi: 10 GP, 21 PTS
W) Johnny Gaudreau, Cgy: 11 GP, 18 PTS
D) Brent Burns, SJ: 11 GP, 15 PTS
D) Mark Giordano, Cgy: 11 GP, 15 PTS
G) Carey Price, Mtl: 8 GP, 5 wins, 1.51 GAA, .953 SV%

Best Value Under 50% Owned All-Star Team:

C) Travis Zajac, NJ, (7% owned), 12 GP, 11 PTS
W) Mats Zuccarello, NYR, (26% owned): 11 GP, 13 PTS
W) Blake Coleman, NJ, (47% owned): 12 GP, 10 PTS, 40 hits
D) Jared Spurgeon, Min, (46% owned): 12 GP, 10 PTS
D) TJ Brodie, Cgy, (39% owned): 11 GP, 11 PTS
G) Jordan Binnington, Stl, (43% owned): 7 GP, 5 wins, 1.57 GAA, .936 SV%

Top Ownership Risers:

Which NHL players had the biggest jump in fantasy hockey ownership for the month of January 2019? Goalies not included.

1) TJ Brodie, Cgy, +27%: After 3 PTS in 14 December games played, Brodie put up 11 PTS in 11 GP in January, helping his ownership climb from 12% to 39%.

2) Frank Vatrano, Fla, +25%: By the end of December, Vatrano had scored 16 PTS in 37 GP and sat at 5% ownership. A 4-point night heading into the All-Star break helped his ownership skyrocket up to 30%.

3) Blake Coleman, NJ, +24%: In 12 January GP, Coleman produced 10 PTS with 39 shots and 40 hits. That’s very useful in most formats, rising him up to 47% ownership. He was only 3% owned at the start of November.

4) Vincent Trochek, Fla, +20%: Trochek was dropped in several leagues after a gruesome injury. He’s been scooped up in many of them after a speedy recovery, but still only sits at 71% (he was at 88% pre-injury).

5) Nino Niederreiter, Car, +20%: Nino has been a hot commodity since getting traded to Carolina. Scored 8 PTS in 12 Jan GP.

6) David Perron, Stl, +19%: Perron finished January injured and 38% owned after a nice little hot streak. His equilibrium ownership is around 18% and then he spikes with hot streaks.

7) Jacob Trouba, Wpg, +14%: The injury to Byfuglien has provided Trouba with more playing opportunities and he’s been playing well. Those numbers should start to fall when Buff returns.

8) Jared Spurgeon, Min, +13%: He stepped into the Matt Dumba void and is on pace for 48 PTS.

9) Brandon Tanev, Wpg, +13%: Tanev is at his most valuable in leagues that count hits. He started the season 0% owned and currently sits at 20%. In 12 Jan GP, he scored 6 PTS with 23 shots and 58 hits.

10) Erik Gustafsson, Chi, +12%: For a guy that was 0% owned heading into the season, he’s done well to climb up 39%. I’m not sure anyone was expecting him to become Chicago’s top offensive defenseman.

Worst Value:

*goalies not subject to minimum GP.

January Not-Star Team: Most Disappointing Players Over 60% Owned Feb 1, min 8 GP

F) Patrik Laine, Wpg, (99% owned): 12 GP, 3 PTS
F) Yanni Gourde, TB, (66% owned): 10 GP, 2 PTS
F) William Karlsson, LV, (85% owned): 10 GP, 2 PTS
D) Jake Gardiner, Tor, (61% owned): 8 GP, 1 PT
D) Ryan McDonagh, TB, (79% owned): 10 GP, 4 PTS
G) Sergei Bobrovsky, Clb, (98% owned): 7 GP, 2 wins, 4.18 GAA, .857 SV%

January Deep League Disappointment Team: Biggest January busts between 10% and 50% ownership. Min 8 GP.

F) Kyle Okposo, Buf, (11% owned): 10 GP 3 PTS
F) Patrick Marleau, Tor, (29% owned): 10 GP, 2 PTS
F) Andrei Svechnikov, Car, (32% owned): 12 GP 3 PTS
D) Josh Manson, Ana, (15% owned): 10 GP, 0 PTS
D) Cam Fowler, Ana, (22% owned): 9 GP, 0 PTS
G) Philip Grubauer, Col, (27% owned): 4 GP, 1 win, 4.71 GAA, 0.816 SV%

Top Ownership Decliners

What NHL players have seen their ownership drop the most in the month of January? Goalies are not included and there is an 8 GP minimum to avoid listing those who simply missed significant time with injury. Yes, some of these guys did miss a few games, but still played the majority. I want to look at the healthier players who dropped significantly.

1) Neal Pionk, NYR, -30%: Pionk produced 11 power play PTS in Oct and Nov, and then just 1 in Dec and Jan. He reached 60% ownership at the end of Nov, and fell to 30% by the end of Jan.

2) Jake Gardiner, Tor, -13%: It’s been a tough season for Gardiner, scoring just 1 point in January and getting booed at home.

3) Nate Schmidt, LV, -12%: Schmidt’s production has dropped since December (10 PTS in 12 GP), still producing 4 PTS in 10 Jan GP. Maybe he went off the juice…

4) Brady Tkachuk, Ott, -12%: The rookie was nearly a point per game player in the month of November, but saw his production drop off in Dec and Jan (7 PTS in 24 GP), ending Jan 25% owned.

5) William Nylander, Tor, -11%: Holding out the first two months of the season probably didn’t help. He did manage to double his Dec point total in January, so he’s at least trending in the right direction.

6) Jonathan Drouin, Mtl, -10%: He was awesome in Dec and mediocre in Jan, seeing his ownership decline from 61% to 50%

7) Patrick Marleau, Tor, -10%: Scoring only 2 PTS in 10 GP in January did not help Marleau’s fantasy ownership. Pat started the season 48% owned and that number has shrunk each month, down to 29% Feb 1.

8) Ilya Kovalchuck, LA, -9%: Kovlachuck started the season 91% owned and has plunged all the way down to 37%. Part of that was due to injury, the rest due to disappointing production.

9) Brent Seabrook, Chi, -9%: Seabrook had reached 60% ownership by the end of November, falling down to 38% Feb 1. His ice time has been slowly shrinking each month of the season. I’m not buying stock in Brent Seabrook going forward.

10) Yanni Gourde, TB, -9%: Gourde had a very inadequate January with 2 PTS in 10 GP while playing on the best offensive team in the league. The only reason he’s still owed in 66% of fantasy leagues is because people want to own stock in that Tampa team. At this point he’s not much better than a streamer in shallow leagues.

NHL 2018/19 Week 17 Fantasy Hockey Report

This is my week seventeen fantasy hockey report for those competing in head to head categories or rotisserie leagues. There are both standard and deep league acquisition targets. This is more of a “waiver wire” report, looking for those who are more likely to be available in your league as opposed to the universally owned players. I also do not recommend any players who play 2 games or less over the next 7 days (Monday to Sunday), with a preference for those with 4 or more games.

Best Standard League Adds (20% to 60% Yahoo ownership):

1) Nino Niederreiter, W, Car, (45% Yahoo ownership): Nino has scored 6 goals in 6 games (with 26 shots) since being traded from Minnesota to Carolina. He’s getting good deployment (with Aho) and scoring goals. The Canes have a strong schedule this week, making Nino an ideal streamer who may even be worth holding on to long-term if this production with his new team continues.

2) Darcy Kuemper, G, Phx, (33% Yahoo ownership): Over his last 8 games Kuemper has 6 wins with a 2.07 GAA and .928 SV %. He needs to be owned in more leagues and next week is a great time to start with the Coyotes playing 4 games. The Coyotes have started winning a few more games and Kuemper is at least a beneficiary if not the cause. He's a streamer that you may want to keep beyond just this week if you are struggling in goal.

3) Jared Spurgeon, D, Min, (46% Yahoo ownership): I’ve recommended Spurgeon a few times this season as a streamer whenever the schedules align. He’s having a strong season and may be worth holding on to for the rest of the season, on pace for nearly 50 PTS. He has benefited from the injury to Matt Dumba, who does not appear to be returning anytime soon.

4) Blake Coleman, W, NJ, (47% Yahoo ownership): Another player with a good streaming schedule that you should consider holding permanently. Over his last 12 GP, Coleman has 10 PTS with 40 shots and 39 hits while averaging over 17 minutes of ice time. That makes him must own in all categories leagues that count hits (including Yahoo standard leagues).

5) Brayden Schenn, C, Stl, (52% Yahoo ownership): Schenn started the season owned in 87% of fantasy leagues, and that number has only gotten smaller each month. He’s on pace for a 53-point season after scoring 70 PTS in 2017/18. This week the Blues play 4 games and Schenn has scored 6 PTS in his last 7 GP. The Schenn-Tarasenko-O’Reilly line appears to be heating up, as the 3 players combined for 8 PTS in their last game. That’s worth keeping an eye on.

Last Week: Carter Hart, Patrick Hornqvist, Ivan Provorov, James Van Riemsdyk, Mats Zuccarello

Best Deep League Adds (under 20% ownership):

1) Justin Williams, W, Car, (18% Yahoo ownership): It has been a good 30 days for Williams, scoring 10 PTS in 12 GP with 39 shots on goal. The Canes have a strong schedule, which does make Williams borderline ownable in standard leagues. He’s been playing on the top line with Aho and Niederreiter, which has been very productive since they added Nino. There are plenty of reasons to like Williams right now, perhaps even beyond the upcoming week.

2) Joonas Korpisalo, G, Clb, (13% Yahoo ownership): It’s looking increasingly likely that Bobrovsky’s days in Columbus will soon come to an end, probably before the trade deadline. If Bobrovsky gets traded and Korpisalo takes over the starting duties (which he has kinda done already), his ownership will probably triple in a week. Over his last 7 GP, Korpsy has a 1.91 GAA and .936 SV%. He’s been the best goalie in Columbus in 2019.

3) Jacob Slavin, D, Car, (13% Yahoo ownership): Slavin has been hovering around 4% ownership all season until a recent span of 11 PTS in 13 GP has vaulted him up to 13%. As stated above, this is an ideal week to add some Carolina Hurricanes. Slavin is a great streaming target, and may be worth a permanent roster spot in deeper leagues. That scoring pace is probably not sustainable in the long-term, but in the meantime I’m happy to ride the wave.

4) Jack Roslovic, W, Wpg, (3% Yahoo ownership): It was a slow start to the season for Roslovic, scoring 12 PTS in his first 50 GP. An injury to Ehlers created a new opportunity and he’s starting to take advantage (7 PTS in his last 6 GP). Eventually Ehlers will return and the Jets may add forward help before the deadline, in the meantime this young gun has been blazing. He just punked the Ducks for 3 goals.

5) Nick Bonino, C, Nsh, (9% Yahoo ownership): Nick Bonino has been shockingly productive lately (11 PTS in his last 13 GP) and the Predators have a strong schedule this week. If your league counts faceoff wins, his value climbs even higher. He was hovering around 1% ownership for most of the year and could have been found on the waiver wire in the deepest of formats. Somebody in my 18-team league just traded a 6th round pick to acquire Bonino.

Last Week: Brandon Tanev, Bryan Little, Anton Khudobin, Brian Dumoulin,
Tanner Pearson

The 1% (best adds 1% owned or less):

1) Oskar Sundqvist, W, Stl: Sundqvist probably needs to be owned in more than 1% of fantasy leagues with the deployment he’s been getting in St. Louis (nearly 16 minutes per game over his last 12). In those 12 GP, he has scored 7 PTS with 28 shots and 18 hits.

2) Jordan Oesterle, D, Ari: Oesterle has moved into a prominent role on the Coyotes defense, averaging 21:29 of ice time over his last 11 GP (where he has produced 6 PTS, including 2 on the power play). His shot totals are disappointing, but his block totals are strong, if either of those are important to you.

3) Evan Rodrigues, W, Buf: Rodrigues has been getting good deployment in 2019 for the Sabres and has managed to produce 7 PTS in his last 10 GP, with 24 shots while averaging just over 15m per game of ice time. The Sabres have a nice schedule this coming week, making Evan a nice streaming target.

Last Week: Dominik Simon, Oskar Lindbolm, Andrew Copp

Safe to drop in Standard Leagues:

1) Cam Talbot, Edm: I’m not sure how Cam Talbot is still owned in 49% of Yahoo leagues. He did manage to string some good games together in early January, which proved to be temporary. In his last 7 GP he’s sporting a 3.46 GAA and .897 SV%. Koskinen has started 4 of the last 6. Talbot has been dropped twice now in my 18-team league where almost every goalie in the league is owned. You can safely drop him in all shallow formats.

2) Charlie McAvoy, Bos: Here’s a fun fact, of all the NHL players over 70% ownership, none have scored fewer PTS this season than McAvoy. Part of that is due to missing a significant chunk of games with a concussion. He’s back in the Bruins line-up and has only scored 1 point in his last 7 games. 70% ownership is too high. There may be a time in the future when I do want to own this kid, but not now.

Last Week: Brandon Montour, David Perron

Sunday, January 27, 2019

NHL 2018/19 Week 16 (part 2) Fantasy Hockey Report

This is my week sixteen (part 2) fantasy hockey report for those competing in head to head categories or rotisserie leagues. Yahoo is making this a 2 week long match due to the All-Star game and bye weeks, so the picking are slim if you're looking for streamers (in a week when you are more likely to need streamers). There are both standard and deep league acquisition targets. This is more of a “waiver wire” report, looking for those who are more likely to be available in your league as opposed to the universally owned players. This week the list mostly features players who play 4 games in the second part of this 2-week match post all-star break while many teams are on bye.

Best Standard League Adds (20% to 60% Yahoo ownership):

1) Carter Hart, G, Phi, (40% Yahoo ownership): I did not expect Carter Hart to post better numbers in the NHL than he did earlier this season in the AHL, but he has managed to do exactly that (2.66 GAA and .918 SV% in 12 GP with Philly). The rookie may only be owned in 40% of fantasy leagues, but that should be 100% for next week with the Flyers playing 4 games amid the byes. Add him anywhere you can find him. The team sent him to the minors to get work over the all-star break and are expected to recall him shortly.

2) Patrick Hornqvist, W, Pit, (59% Yahoo ownership): Hornqvist has returned from a concussion and the Penguins have a busy schedule in a quiet week. If he was dropped in your league, go add him. He may be worth holding long-term if he can stay healthy. At the very least he’s got great short-term streamer value. Horny had scored 6 PTS in 6 GP before missing 4 games with the injury. The power play exposure he gets in Pittsburgh is as good as it gets.

3) Ivan Provorov, D, Phi, (46% Yahoo ownership): I dropped him in my 12-team standard league back in November, and he’s been sitting unclaimed on the waiver wire ever since. The kid has scored 5 PTS in his last 8 GP, albeit with disappointing shot totals. Still, with the Flyers juicy schedule this week, he’s back on my roster for another try. You may also want to try streaming teammate Radko Gudas is he’s available on your waiver wire.

4) James Van Riemsdyk, W, Phi, (54% Yahoo ownership): After a slow start to the season and some extended slumps, JVR has been scoring lately (6 goals, 2 assists in his last 5 GP). There may not be a better time to get him onto your roster if you need to squeeze out a few extra goals during the bye week. He won’t continue to score at a goal per game pace for the rest of the season, but I’m always a proponent of riding hots hands during busy stretches of schedule.

5) Mats Zuccarello, W, NYR, (25% Yahoo ownership): The Rangers will play Philly, Tampa, and Jersey this week with a red-hot Mats Zuccarello (10 PTS in his last 7 GP). He’s been playing a ton lately as the Rangers are showcasing him to the rest of the league with the trade deadline approaching. Tough to predict what his new deployment will be if he does get moved, but in the short-term he’s a very tempting streaming target. I'd rather have 3 games of Zuccarello than 4 games of Nolan Patrick (who was the other candidate for this spot).

Last Week: Alex Galchenyuk, Jordan Binnington, Nate Schmidt, Kevin Fiala, Alex Tuch

Best Deep League Adds (under 20% ownership):

1) Brandon Tanev, W, Wpg, (18% Yahoo ownership): Tanev is probably already owned in most deep leagues that count hits, but that number needs to be even higher for the 2nd half of this week 16 schedule. The Jets play 4 games and over his last 11 Tanev has produced 7 PTS with 27 shots and 44 hits. Given all the byes, that even has streaming value in shallow leagues that count hits (like Yahoo standard leagues).

2) Bryan Little, C, Wpg, (17% Yahoo ownership): I’m concerned about what will happen to Little’s deployment if the Jets add another center before the trade deadline, but in the meantime, he has great short-term streamer value. Little has scored 9 PTS in his last 11 GP while seeing time on the power play. He’s been tied to the hip of Patrik Laine all season and has even been outproducing the talented sniper this month.

3) Anton Khudobin, G, Dal, (11% Yahoo ownership): If you play in a deep league and need some help reaching your minimum goalie starts, you may have some trouble finding a plug with all the byes. Khudobin has been a very effective back-up this season and the Stars will play back to back games on Friday and Saturday. In his 3 January GP he posted a 1.65 GAA and .938 SV%.

4) Brian Dumoulin, D, Pit, (14% Yahoo ownership): The best way to describe Dumoulin’s fantasy value is a low ceiling and a high floor. You will get a few PTS, good +/-, and some hits. Over his last 12 GP he has scored 5 PTS with 26 hits and a +6. Given the Pens upcoming schedule, I like his streaming potential for the rest of the week.

5) Tanner Pearson, W, Pit, (3% Yahoo ownership): When Pearson was traded to Pittsburgh, there was optimism about his break-out potential. While he has been better than he was in LA, he has not reached the level many had hoped. He has scored 7 PTS in his last 12 GP, but has not been getting any power play time with Crosby or Malkin, limiting his output. That being said, he’s a good streaming option this week.

Last Week: Anders Nilsson, Joe Thornton, Conor Garland, Joonas Donskoi, Brendan Dillon

The 1% (best adds 1% owned or less):

1) Dominik Simon, W, Pit: In his last 11 GP, Simon has scored 7 PTS with 24 shots, 16 hits, and a +4. There aren’t many better options who are also available in 99% of Yahoo leagues this week. The Pens have a busy schedule while many of your players are on vacation.

2) Oskar Lindbolm, W, Phi: Since Simon was already owned in my 18-team league, I had to settle for Lindbolm as a one-week streamer. It’s doubtful that I’ll keep him long-term, but he’s got some appeal this week given the schedule. The kid has seen his ice time rise to the 16-18 minute range over the last 3 games, where he has recorded 3 PTS with 7 hits and a +6.

3) Andrew Copp, W, Wpg: Another forward I’ll be streaming is Andrew Copp (6 PTS with a +6 in his last 11 GP) to squeeze out as many counting stats as possible during bye weeks. Normally I like to recommend at least 1 defenseman in the 1% range, but your options this week are very limited. Travis Sanheim isn’t very exciting.

Last Week: Jordan Oesterle, Calle Jarnkrok, Ryan Carpenter

Safe to drop in Standard Leagues:

1) Brandon Montour, D, Ana: In my 12-team standard league I dropped Montour and added Ivan Provorov to get 3 extra games played. Montour is still 50% owned, which is too high for his production over the last month. The Ducks only play 1 game this week, so he’s a prime candidate to drop for a good streamer (I also added Radko Gudas as a 1-week stream in that same league).

2) David Perron, W, Stl: Perron has been very good over the past month, but he is currently day to day with an injury and the Blues only play 1 game next week. You don’t need to hold a roster spot for this guy in shallow leagues. He is somebody you will want to keep on your watch list when the Blues bye week is over and we know if he has returned from injury.

Last Week: Jake Gardiner, Colton Parayko