Monday, April 29, 2013

2013 NHL Playoff Scoring Forecast

As per every season, here is my 2013 NHL playoff scoring forecast. The GP projection uses 50% my own personal predictions bracket and 50% what my unbiased final regular season power rankings says is the better team, with every possible series going 6 games. If you don't like Chicago or Pittsburgh, adjust my rankings accordingly because I have those two teams in the finals in every scenario. Injuries also factored into my GP projections, where all E[PTS] are just individual points per game from the compressed regular season.

Player Team POS E[GP] E[PTS]
Sidney Crosby PIT F 20 31
Patrick Kane CHI F 24 28
Chris Kunitz PIT F 24 26
Jonathan Toews CHI F 24 25
Kris Letang PIT D 22 24
James Neal PIT F 24 22
Evgeni Malkin PIT F 20 21
Pascal Dupuis PIT F 24 19
Marian Hossa CHI F 24 19
Jarome Iginla PIT F 24 18
Patrick Sharp CHI F 24 17
Brandon Saad CHI F 24 14
Brenden Morrow PIT F 24 14
Paul Martin PIT D 20 14
Ryan Getzlaf ANA F 12 13
Duncan Keith CHI D 23 13
Anze Kopitar LOS F 14 13
Jussi Jokinen PIT F 24 12
Viktor Stalberg CHI F 24 12
Bryan Bickell CHI F 24 12
Rick Nash NYR F 12 11
Henrik Sedin VAN F 12 11
Derek Stepan NYR F 12 11
P.K. Subban MON D 12 11
Michal Rozsival CHI D 24 11
Max Pacioretty MON F 12 11
Matt Cooke PIT F 24 11
Alex Ovechkin WAS F 9 11
Brent Seabrook CHI D 24 10
Daniel Sedin VAN F 12 10
Corey Perry ANA F 12 10
Jeff Carter LOS F 14 10
Justin Williams LOS F 14 10
Brad Marchand BOS F 12 10
Dave Bolland CHI F 24 10
Brandon Sutter PIT F 24 10
Henrik Zetterberg DET F 9 9
Pavel Datsyuk DET F 9 9
Jaromir Jagr BOS F 12 9
Mike Richards LOS F 14 9
Mike Ribeiro WAS F 9 9
Ryan Kesler VAN F 12 9
Michael Ryder MON F 12 9
Nick Leddy CHI D 24 9
Nicklas Backstrom WAS F 9 9
Brad Richards NYR F 12 9
Dustin Brown LOS F 14 9
David Krejci BOS F 12 8
Tomas Plekanec MON F 12 8
Matt Niskanen PIT D 24 8
Ryan Callahan NYR F 12 8
Beau Bennett PIT F 15 8
Tyler Seguin BOS F 12 8
Derek Roy VAN F 12 8
Joffrey Lupul TOR F 7 8
Bobby Ryan ANA F 12 8
Lars Eller MON F 12 8
Brendan Gallagher MON F 12 8
Patrice Bergeron BOS F 10 8
Phil Kessel TOR F 7 8
Andrew Shaw CHI F 24 8
Andrei Markov MON D 12 8
Erik Karlsson OTT D 9 7
Derick Brassard NYR F 12 7
Raphael Diaz MON D 12 7
Slava Voynov LOS D 14 7
Milan Lucic BOS F 12 7
David Desharnais MON F 12 7
Saku Koivu ANA F 12 7
Jannik Hansen VAN F 12 7
Johan Franzen DET F 9 7
Alex Galchenyuk MON F 12 7
Mike Green WAS D 9 7
Marcus Kruger CHI F 24 7
Brian Gionta MON F 12 7
Drew Doughty LOS D 14 6
Nazem Kadri TOR F 7 6
Mats Zuccarello NYR F 12 6
Troy Brouwer WAS F 9 6
Teemu Selanne ANA F 12 6
Alexandre Burrows VAN F 12 6
Dan Hamhuis VAN D 12 6
Kyle Palmieri ANA F 12 6
Francois Beauchemin ANA D 12 6
Johnny Oduya CHI D 24 6
Carl Hagelin NYR F 12 6
Chris Stewart STL F 8 6
Dustin Penner LOS F 14 6
John Tavares NYI F 6 6
Alexander Edler VAN D 12 6
Marcus Johansson WAS F 9 6
Rene Bourque MON F 12 6
Andrew Cogliano ANA F 12 6
Mason Raymond VAN F 12 6
Ryane Clowe NYR F 12 6
Matt Moulson NYI F 6 6
Cory Conacher OTT F 9 6
Milan Michalek OTT F 9 5
Michael Del Zotto NYR D 12 5
Niklas Kronwall DET D 9 5
Kyle Turris OTT F 9 5
Alexander Steen STL F 8 5
Sergei Gonchar OTT D 9 5
Michael Frolik CHI F 24 5
Damien Brunner DET F 9 5
Tyler Kennedy PIT F 22 5
Jarret Stoll LOS F 14 5
Brad Richardson LOS F 14 5
Niklas Hjalmarsson CHI D 24 5
Nathan Horton BOS F 10 5
Joe Thornton SAN F 6 5
Daniel Alfredsson OTT F 9 5
Jake Muzzin LOS D 14 5
Michal Handzus CHI F 24 5
Ryan McDonagh NYR D 12 5
Nick Bonino ANA F 10 5
Martin Erat WAS F 9 5
Daniel Winnik ANA F 12 5
Zdeno Chara BOS D 12 5
Zach Parise MIN F 6 5
Simon Despres PIT D 22 5
David Backes STL F 8 5
James van Riemsdyk TOR F 7 5
Sheldon Souray ANA D 12 5
Mikko Koivu MIN F 6 5
Logan Couture SAN F 6 5
Rich Peverley BOS F 12 5
Dougie Hamilton BOS D 12 5
Andy McDonald STL F 8 5
Cody Franson TOR D 7 5
Craig Adams PIT F 24 5
Daniel Paille BOS F 12 4
Dennis Seidenberg BOS D 12 4
Brandon Prust MON F 12 4
Chris Higgins VAN F 12 4
Brad Boyes NYI F 6 4
Mika Zibanejad OTT F 9 4
Patrik Berglund STL F 8 4
David Perron STL F 8 4
John Carlson WAS D 9 4
Alex Pietrangelo STL D 8 4
Jason Garrison VAN D 12 4
Trevor Lewis LOS F 14 4
Kyle Clifford LOS F 14 4
Dion Phaneuf TOR D 7 4
Patrick Wiercioch OTT D 9 4
Ryan Suter MIN D 6 4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau OTT F 9 4
Brent Burns SAN D 6 4
T.J. Oshie STL F 6 4
Vladimir Tarasenko STL F 8 4
Kevin Bieksa VAN D 12 4
Mathieu Perreault WAS F 9 4
Joe Pavelski SAN F 6 4
Patrick Marleau SAN F 6 4
Matt Cullen MIN F 6 4
Kevin Shattenkirk STL D 8 4
Jay Bouwmeester STL D 8 4
Valtteri Filppula DET F 9 4
Eric Fehr WAS F 9 4
Matt Beleskey ANA F 12 4
Dan Girardi NYR D 12 4
Brooks Orpik PIT D 21 4
Matt Frattin TOR F 7 4
Colin Greening OTT F 9 4
Frans Nielsen NYI F 6 4
Cam Fowler ANA D 12 4
Jakob Silfverberg OTT F 9 4
Radek Dvorak ANA F 8 4
Jack Hillen WAS D 9 4
Rob Scuderi LOS D 14 4
Dustin Jeffrey PIT F 14 4
Clarke MacArthur TOR F 7 4
Ben Lovejoy ANA D 12 3
Deryk Engelland PIT D 24 3
Zack Kassian VAN F 12 3
Devin Setoguchi MIN F 6 3
Mark Streit NYI D 6 3
Nikolai Kulemin TOR F 7 3
Guillaume Latendresse OTT F 9 3
Gregory Campbell BOS F 12 3
Andrew Ference BOS D 12 3
Chris Kelly BOS F 12 3
Vladimir Sobotka STL F 8 3
Marc Staal NYR D 6 3
Douglas Murray PIT D 22 3
Tyler Bozak TOR F 5 3
Tyler Toffoli LOS F 6 3
Kyle Okposo NYI F 6 3
Josh Bailey NYI F 6 3
Dwight King LOS F 14 3
Davis Drewiske MON D 12 3
Emerson Etem ANA F 11 3
Steve Oleksy WAS D 9 3
Matthew Lombardi ANA F 10 3
Jakub Kindl DET D 9 3
Daniel Cleary DET F 9 3
Zack Smith OTT F 9 3
Michael Grabner NYI F 6 3
John Moore NYR D 12 3
Pierre-Marc Bouchard MIN F 6 3
Raffi Torres SAN F 6 3
Taylor Pyatt NYR F 12 3
Jason Chimera WAS F 9 3
Chris Phillips OTT D 9 3
Dan Boyle SAN D 6 3
Jonathan Ericsson DET D 9 3
Andrew Ebbett VAN F 12 3
Maxim Lapierre VAN F 12 3
Jay McClement TOR F 7 2
Gustav Nyquist DET F 9 2
Justin Abdelkader DET F 9 2
Carl Gunnarsson TOR D 6 2
John-Michael Liles TOR D 7 2
Lubomir Visnovsky NYI D 6 2
Adam Cracknell STL F 8 2
T.J. Galiardi SAN F 6 2
Mikhail Grabovski TOR F 7 2
Jaden Schwartz STL F 8 2
Jared Spurgeon MIN D 6 2
Scott Gomez SAN F 6 2
Charlie Coyle MIN F 6 2
Colin McDonald NYI F 6 2
Josh Gorges MON D 12 2
Francis Bouillon MON D 12 2
Chris Neil OTT F 9 2
Erik Condra OTT F 9 2
Chris Porter STL F 8 2
Jason Pominville MIN F 3 2
Todd Bertuzzi DET F 5 2
Joe Vitale PIT F 14 2
Patrick Eaves DET F 9 2
Brendan Smith DET D 9 2
Marc Methot OTT D 9 2
Barret Jackman STL D 8 2
Dave Steckel ANA F 10 2
Toni Lydman ANA D 12 2
Jordan Leopold STL D 8 2
Jarred Tinordi MON D 8 2
Jake Gardiner TOR D 6 2
Jordan Nolan LOS F 14 2
Joakim Andersson DET F 9 2
Matt Irwin SAN D 6 2
Shawn Thornton BOS F 12 2
Tommy Wingels SAN F 6 2
Colin Fraser LOS F 9 2
Tom Gilbert MIN D 6 2
Martin Havlat SAN F 4 2
John Erskine WAS D 9 2
Dale Weise VAN F 12 2
Mikael Granlund MIN F 6 2
Keith Aucoin NYI F 6 2
Anton Stralman NYR D 12 2
Jordin Tootoo DET F 9 2
Kris Russell STL D 8 2
Wade Redden BOS D 7 2
Wojtek Wolski WAS F 5 2
Johnny Boychuk BOS D 12 2
Bryan Allen ANA D 11 2
Travis Moen MON F 12 2
Dan Carcillo CHI F 12 2
Luca Sbisa ANA D 8 2
Adam McQuaid BOS D 12 2
Cory Emmerton DET F 9 2
Kyle Brodziak MIN F 6 2
Jason Zucker MIN F 6 2
Andrew MacDonald NYI D 6 2
Leo Komarov TOR F 7 2
Matt Hendricks WAS F 9 2
Jay Beagle WAS F 9 2
Jonas Brodin MIN D 6 1
Cal Clutterbuck MIN F 6 1
Matt Martin NYI F 6 1
Robyn Regehr LOS D 14 1
Casey Cizikas NYI F 4 1
Jared Cowen OTT D 9 1
Cam Barker VAN D 9 1
Mikael Samuelsson DET F 5 1
Clayton Stoner MIN F 6 1
Travis Hamonic NYI D 6 1
Mark Fraser TOR F 7 1
Tom Sestito VAN F 12 1
Ryan Reaves STL F 8 1
Torrey Mitchell MIN F 6 1
Chris Kreider NYR F 8 1
Steve Eminger NYR F 12 1
Justin Braun SAN D 6 1
Matt Greene LOS D 5 1
Roman Polak STL D 8 1
Karl Alzner WAS D 9 1
Alec Martinez LOS D 5 1
Matt Bartkowski BOS D 5 1
Arron Asham NYR F 12 1
Marc-Edouard Vlasic SAN D 6 1
Ryan O'Byrne TOR D 6 1
Jamal Mayers CHI F 8 1
Danny DeKeyser DET D 9 1
Jason Demers SAN D 6 1
Jeff Halpern MON F 12 1
Kyle Quincey DET D 9 1

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