Sunday, December 30, 2018

NHL 2018 Week 13 Fantasy Hockey Report


This is my week thirteen fantasy hockey report for those competing in head to head categories or rotisserie leagues. There are both standard and deep league acquisition targets. This is more of a “waiver wire” report, looking for those who are more likely to be available in your league as opposed to the universally owned players. I also do not recommend any players who play 2 games or less over the next 7 days (Monday to Sunday), with a preference for those with 4 or more games. 

Best Standard League Adds (20% to 60% Yahoo ownership):

1) Nico Hischier, C, New Jersey, (41% Yahoo ownership): If Hischier were eligible on the wing, his Yahoo ownership would double. He’s currently stuck in the “Kevin Hayes zone” of players who would be more widely owned if not for the fact that everyone has too many centers. The former 1st overall pick has 9 PTS in his last 10 GP. Taylor Hall is day to day with an injury, and Nico will need him back to maximize his performance.

2) Carter Hart, G, Philly, (42% Yahoo ownership): Count me among the people who tried to pump the brakes on the Carter Hart enthusiasm when he was first called up from the minors. The kid has been mostly good over his first 4 games, with a 2.28 GAA and .917 SV %. The Flyers have a great schedule, so at the very least Hart has value as a streamer this week, and I wouldn’t necessarily drop him until you start to see the regression.

3) Noah Hanifin, D, Calgary, (27% Yahoo ownership): Hanifin is a great streaming candidate this week with the Flames playing a busy schedule. The kid has scored 4 PTS with 14 shots in his last 6 GP. He’s playing on the second power play unit, but still gets heavy even strength deployment. The Flames are the 2nd highest scoring team in the Western conference, so there’s plenty of opportunity for Hanifin to get his name on the scoresheet.  

4) Kevin Fiala, W, Nashville, (22% Yahoo ownership): It hasn’t been a great season for Fiala, but he’s managed to produce 5 PTS in his last 6 GP and the Predators have a strong schedule this week (Mon-Tues and Fri-Sat), making Fiala an intriguing streaming option, even if you just add him for Monday-Tuesday. He’ll be heavily added for the New Year’s Day game. He’s also got Detroit on Friday, so if you do stream him for Jan 1, he’s worth holding onto for a few extra days.

5) Blake Coleman, W, New Jersey, (22% Yahoo ownership): Coleman didn’t make this list because he’s been hot lately (only scoring 3 PTS in his last 10 GP), but what he’s got is a great schedule and reliable peripheral production. In those last 10 GP he has put up 21 hits and 28 shots. The Devils play Mon, Wed, Fri, Sun on days when he’ll be easier to get into your line-up and pad some of your other categories.


Last Week: Kevin Hayes, Alex Tuch, Nick Schmaltz, Alex Edler, Jacob Markstrom


Best Deep League Adds (under 15% ownership):

1) MacKenzie Blackwood, G, New Jersey, (15% Yahoo ownership): Normally I try not to recommend the same player in back to back weeks, but I need to make an exception here. Blackwood posted a 37 save shutout against the Hurricanes Saturday and is one of the most added players on Yahoo today. 5 games into his NHL career he’s sporting a 1.58 GAA and .956 SV %. It’s unlikely he’ll finish the season with those numbers, but in the meantime he’s worth a roll of the dice.

2) Dylan Strome, C, Chicago, (7% Yahoo ownership): Strome has been getting great deployment since arriving in Chicago, playing on a line with Patrick Kane. He has rewarded owners with 7 PTS in his last 3 GP. That warrants greater than 7% ownership. There will always be the risk that he’ll get bumped off the Kane line, but in the meantime, he needs to be owned in more leagues. With his talent and that deployment, I like Strome beyond just next week.

3) Jakob Chychrun, D, Arizona, (11% Yahoo ownership): His ownership % shot up today because it’s the Sunday of a shortened week and Arizona plays in the only game (the most added list is all Vegas and Arizona guys). The fact that he’s scored 4 PTS and 20 shots in his last 7 GP (averaging almost 21m in ice time) does help boost his stock. The Coyotes only play 3 games next week. I’m more interested in Chychrun as a long-term play in deep leagues. He’s a youngster with abundant upside, probably already owned in many dynasty leagues.

4) Jake Virtanen, W, Vancouver, (10% Yahoo ownership): Virtanen continues to put up good numbers, with 6 PTS, 35 shots, and 36 hits in his last 13 GP (averaging almost 16m per game of ice time). The Canucks play 4 games this week and Virtanen can help your hit and shot numbers while putting up a few PTS. The kid is becoming a fan favourite here in Vancouver.

5) Ty Rattie, W, Edmonton, (3% Yahoo ownership): McDavid alert! To all those who have been streaming McDavid’s revolving door of linemates this season, there’s an old familiar face back on the top line. Everyone’s favourite sleeper heading into the season (at one point leading preseason scoring) had 3 assists on Saturday. The downside is multiple healthy scratches in his recent game log, so he’s not even a guarantee to play. But hey, McDavid linemate roulette has been a popular game this season, if your league is deep enough. I’m not dropping anyone good to add him. In my 18-team league I dropped Vinnie Hinostroza (a 1-day streamer) to add Rattie.


Last Week: Jesse Puljujarvi, Alex Iafallo, Darcy Kuemper, Alex Goligoski, MacKenzie Blackwood


The 1% (best adds 1% owned or less):

1) Barclay Goodrow, W, San Jose: Goodrow still has limited deployment, but he’s made the most of that opportunity with 5 PTS in his last 2 GP. There’s no reason to think that is in any way sustainable, but he’s worth a short-term gamble in really deep leagues if you’ve got a hole in your roster. Being eligible at every forward position makes him easy to plug into your line-up.

2) Niklas Kronwall, D, Detroit: Kronwall may be near the end of his career, but that hasn’t stopped the Red Wings from leaning on him heavily with Green and DeKeyser injured (averaging 22.5m of ice time in his last 6 GP, scoring 3 PTS). The Red Wings play 4 games next week, which gives Kronwall strong streaming appeal in deep leagues.

3) Casey Cizikas, C, Islanders: Cizikas has been scoring at a 41-point pace this season (after a 22-point pace last year). Over his last 6 GP, he has scored 3 PTS with 12 shots, 8 hits, and 31 faceoff wins, which gives him some value in the deepest formats.


Last Week: Connor Murphy, Connor Brown, Brian Boyle


Safe to drop in Standard Leagues:

1) Brady Tkachuk, W, Ottawa: The rookie is still 37% owned in Yahoo leagues despite only scoring 4 PTS in his last 12 GP. It’s common for young players to have dry spells, so there should be brighter days ahead. In the meantime, you don’t need to burn a permanent roster spot in shallow leagues. The Sens do play 4 games this week, so maybe don’t drop him right away…

2) Semyon Varlamov, G, Colorado: I’m not sure why Varlamov is still 82% owned. Over the last 30 days he’s got a 3.87 GAA and .884 SV %. Grubauer is their goalie of future, despite his own poor play over that same stretch. At this point I wouldn’t want to own either Avalanche goalie in a shallow league. Varlamov has the worst GAA and SV % of all goalies over 60% ownership in the last 30 days.


Last Week: Dougie Hamilton, Yanni Gourde

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