Every
season for the last decade I have been posting an annual Best NHL Contracts
list that ranks who I feel are the biggest non-entry level bargains, multiplied by years
remaining. In past seasons I’ve partially defined “bargain” as players earning
less than 10% of the salary cap. This exercise is not simply about ranking the
best players in the league, it’s about who has the most “value remaining”.
Would you rather have 3 more years of player X at $6M or 5 more years of player
Y at $4M. Perhaps my self-imposed definition of bargain is flawed. Connor
McDavid has the highest cap hit in the league at $12.5M, but should arguably be
getting paid the league maximum of $16.3M, thus is nearly $4M underpaid for 6
more years. Ergo has a “bargain remaining” of $24M. Leon Draisaitl was excluded
from my bargains list last season because he made over 10% of the salary cap,
yet if he hit the open market tomorrow could command north of $14M per season as
a Hart Trophy candidate. You can argue Draisaitl has a $27M “bargain remaining”.
I’m
going to change my definition of a bargain from those earning under 10% of the
cap to those earning under $10M AAV. While in theory the best players could potentially
land max contracts as UFAs if they wanted to just accept the highest offer, the
bottom line is that $12.5M is currently the upper limit on annual cap hit. I
refuse to describe the highest paid players as bargains. Another rule I’m
imposing this year is no players over the age of 30 (sorry Sid). Ekholm did
make my list last year, but it’s hard to judge the “value remaining” on players
over-30 who are at greater risk of decline. Victor Hedman is the oldest player
eligible at age 29.
Another
thing I’ll be doing differently this year is letting Twitter help me decide the
proper order to rank the league’s best bargains in a series of Twitter polls.
It will be slightly different than my Worst Contract Bracket Challenge. There
are 32 nominees, but 8 are going to get a bye past the first round. There will
be 6 polls in the first round, with the winner of each poll advancing to the
sweet 16. The final two spots will be the highest 2nd place
finishers by % of the vote.
Here's the list:
BYES
Leon Draisaitl
|
Nathan MacKinnon
|
David Pastrnak
|
Mark Scheifele
|
Mika Zibanejad
|
Jonathan Huberdeau
|
Sean Couturier
|
Aleksander Barkov
|
THE
REST
(in no particular order)
Name
|
Term Left
|
Cap Hit
|
Shea Theodore
|
5
|
5.2
|
Jaccob Slavin
|
5
|
5.3
|
Jake Guentzel
|
4
|
6.0
|
Dylan Larkin
|
3
|
6.1
|
Sebastian Aho
|
4
|
8.5
|
Seth Jones
|
2
|
5.4
|
Travis Konecny
|
5
|
5.5
|
Zach Werenski
|
2
|
5.0
|
Charlie McAvoy
|
2
|
4.9
|
Brayden Point
|
2
|
6.8
|
Morgan Rielly
|
2
|
5.0
|
Nikita Kucherov
|
7
|
9.5
|
Kyle Connor
|
6
|
7.1
|
J.T. Miller
|
3
|
5.3
|
Teuvo Teravainen
|
4
|
5.4
|
John Klingberg
|
2
|
4.3
|
Victor Hedman
|
5
|
7.9
|
Matthew Tkachuk
|
2
|
7.0
|
Elias Lindholm
|
4
|
4.9
|
Bo Horvat
|
3
|
5.5
|
Brock Boeser
|
2
|
5.9
|
William Nylander
|
4
|
7.0
|
Johnny Gaudreau
|
2
|
6.8
|
Connor Hellebuyck
|
4
|
6.2
|
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